利用地理权重回归分析印度尼西亚中爪哇省0-11岁儿童Covid-19的时空传播

Q1 Mathematics

International Review on Modelling and Simulations Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI:10.15866/iremos.v15i6.22048

Evina Widianawati, Widya Ratna Wulan, ani tri wahyuni

{"title":"利用地理权重回归分析印度尼西亚中爪哇省0-11岁儿童Covid-19的时空传播","authors":"Evina Widianawati, Widya Ratna Wulan, ani tri wahyuni","doi":"10.15866/iremos.v15i6.22048","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"During the COVID-19 pandemic, children under the age of 12 are the most vulnerable age group to health concerns. The goal of this study was to conduct a spatiotemporal analysis of the distribution of COVID-19 cases in Central Java children using the GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) approach. The data source is the Central Java Provincial Health Office, and the study objects are 35 cities and districts in Central Java province. The data obtained are the number of COVID-19 cases in children aged 0-11 years, the total number of Covid-19 cases, the number of PCR tests per day, the number of vaccinations and the number of health care facilities per city and district per month from March 2020 to November 2021. Hotspot analysis and the GWR approach were used to examine data in semesters 1–4 (S1–S4). From S1 to S4, the number of COVID-19 cases in children increased. Areas that became hotspots for more than two semesters were Semarang City, Semarang Regency, Banyumas, Cilacap, Kendal, and Demak. According to the GWR analysis in S1-S4, the total number of COVID-19 cases, PCR tests per day, vaccinations, and health care facilities all affect the number of COVID-19 patients in children by more than 75%. The total number of COVID-19 cases has a significant impact on the number of COVID-19 cases in children but the number of health care facilities has no effect. The results of the GWR prediction of COVID-19 cases in children show that the cities of Semarang and Banyumas became areas with a larger number of COVID-19 cases in two semesters. According to the hotspot and GWR analysis, the cities of Semarang and Banyumas are regions to be on the lookout for in the spread of COVID-19 cases in S1-S4. © 2022 Praise Worthy Prize S.r.l.-All rights reserved.","PeriodicalId":38950,"journal":{"name":"International Review on Modelling and Simulations","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Spatio-Temporal Spread of Covid-19 in Children Aged 0-11 Years at Central Java Province Indonesia Using Geographical Weight Regression\",\"authors\":\"Evina Widianawati, Widya Ratna Wulan, ani tri wahyuni\",\"doi\":\"10.15866/iremos.v15i6.22048\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"During the COVID-19 pandemic, children under the age of 12 are the most vulnerable age group to health concerns. The goal of this study was to conduct a spatiotemporal analysis of the distribution of COVID-19 cases in Central Java children using the GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) approach. The data source is the Central Java Provincial Health Office, and the study objects are 35 cities and districts in Central Java province. The data obtained are the number of COVID-19 cases in children aged 0-11 years, the total number of Covid-19 cases, the number of PCR tests per day, the number of vaccinations and the number of health care facilities per city and district per month from March 2020 to November 2021. Hotspot analysis and the GWR approach were used to examine data in semesters 1–4 (S1–S4). From S1 to S4, the number of COVID-19 cases in children increased. Areas that became hotspots for more than two semesters were Semarang City, Semarang Regency, Banyumas, Cilacap, Kendal, and Demak. According to the GWR analysis in S1-S4, the total number of COVID-19 cases, PCR tests per day, vaccinations, and health care facilities all affect the number of COVID-19 patients in children by more than 75%. The total number of COVID-19 cases has a significant impact on the number of COVID-19 cases in children but the number of health care facilities has no effect. The results of the GWR prediction of COVID-19 cases in children show that the cities of Semarang and Banyumas became areas with a larger number of COVID-19 cases in two semesters. According to the hotspot and GWR analysis, the cities of Semarang and Banyumas are regions to be on the lookout for in the spread of COVID-19 cases in S1-S4. © 2022 Praise Worthy Prize S.r.l.-All rights reserved.\",\"PeriodicalId\":38950,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Review on Modelling and Simulations\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-12-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Review on Modelling and Simulations\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.15866/iremos.v15i6.22048\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Review on Modelling and Simulations","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.15866/iremos.v15i6.22048","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间，12岁以下儿童是最容易受到健康问题影响的年龄组。本研究的目的是使用GWR(地理加权回归)方法对中爪哇儿童COVID-19病例的时空分布进行分析。数据来源为中爪哇省卫生厅，研究对象为中爪哇省35个城市和地区。获得的数据是2020年3月至2021年11月期间0-11岁儿童的COVID-19病例数、COVID-19病例总数、每天的PCR检测次数、疫苗接种次数以及每个城市和地区每月的卫生保健设施数量。采用热点分析和GWR方法对1-4学期(S1-S4)的数据进行分析。从S1到S4，儿童COVID-19病例数增加。超过两个学期成为热点的地区是三宝垄市、三宝垄县、Banyumas、Cilacap、Kendal和Demak。根据S1-S4年度的GWR分析，COVID-19病例总数、每天的PCR检测、疫苗接种和卫生保健设施都对儿童COVID-19患者人数的影响超过75%。COVID-19病例总数对儿童COVID-19病例数量有显著影响，但医疗机构数量没有影响。新冠肺炎儿童病例GWR预测结果显示，三宝垄市和班尤马斯市在两个学期内成为新冠肺炎病例较多的地区。根据热点和GWR分析，三宝垄市和班yumas市是s1 - 4年COVID-19病例传播的重点地区。©2022 Praise Worthy Prize s.r.l.保留所有权利。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Spatio-Temporal Spread of Covid-19 in Children Aged 0-11 Years at Central Java Province Indonesia Using Geographical Weight Regression

During the COVID-19 pandemic, children under the age of 12 are the most vulnerable age group to health concerns. The goal of this study was to conduct a spatiotemporal analysis of the distribution of COVID-19 cases in Central Java children using the GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) approach. The data source is the Central Java Provincial Health Office, and the study objects are 35 cities and districts in Central Java province. The data obtained are the number of COVID-19 cases in children aged 0-11 years, the total number of Covid-19 cases, the number of PCR tests per day, the number of vaccinations and the number of health care facilities per city and district per month from March 2020 to November 2021. Hotspot analysis and the GWR approach were used to examine data in semesters 1–4 (S1–S4). From S1 to S4, the number of COVID-19 cases in children increased. Areas that became hotspots for more than two semesters were Semarang City, Semarang Regency, Banyumas, Cilacap, Kendal, and Demak. According to the GWR analysis in S1-S4, the total number of COVID-19 cases, PCR tests per day, vaccinations, and health care facilities all affect the number of COVID-19 patients in children by more than 75%. The total number of COVID-19 cases has a significant impact on the number of COVID-19 cases in children but the number of health care facilities has no effect. The results of the GWR prediction of COVID-19 cases in children show that the cities of Semarang and Banyumas became areas with a larger number of COVID-19 cases in two semesters. According to the hotspot and GWR analysis, the cities of Semarang and Banyumas are regions to be on the lookout for in the spread of COVID-19 cases in S1-S4. © 2022 Praise Worthy Prize S.r.l.-All rights reserved.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

International Review on Modelling and Simulations Engineering-Mechanical Engineering

CiteScore

2.80

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The International Review on Modelling and Simulations (IREMOS) is a peer-reviewed journal that publishes original theoretical and applied papers concerning Modelling, Numerical studies, Algorithms and Simulations in all the engineering fields. The topics to be covered include, but are not limited to: theoretical aspects of modelling and simulation, methods and algorithms for design control and validation of systems, tools for high performance computing simulation. The applied papers can deal with Modelling, Numerical studies, Algorithms and Simulations regarding all the engineering fields; particularly about the electrical engineering (power system, power electronics, automotive applications, power devices, energy conversion, electrical machines, lighting systems and so on), the mechanical engineering (kinematics and dynamics of rigid bodies, vehicle system dynamics, theory of machines and mechanisms, vibration and balancing of machine parts, stability of mechanical systems, computational mechanics, mechanics of materials and structures, plasticity, hydromechanics, aerodynamics, aeroelasticity, biomechanics, geomechanics, thermodynamics, heat transfer, refrigeration, fluid mechanics, micromechanics, nanomechanics, robotics, mechatronics, combustion theory, turbomachinery, manufacturing processes and so on), the chemical engineering (chemical reaction engineering, environmental chemical engineering, materials synthesis and processing and so on). IREMOS also publishes letters to the Editor and research notes which discuss new research, or research in progress in any of the above thematic areas.