选举是变革的载体？解释非洲民主表现和政府更迭的不同结果1

Q3 Arts and Humanities

Cadernos de Estudos Africanos Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI:10.4000/cea.4227

E. Sanches, J. J. Macuane

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引用次数: 2

摘要

举行更多的定期选举是否能改善非洲的民主表现？选举是否改变了政府的交替模式？为了回答这些问题，我们根据27个非洲国家179次选举的原始数据集进行了两项分析，从成立多党选举到2019年。第一个测试了政府更迭对民主表现的影响，表明虽然在建国选举中政府更迭提高了民主表现，但反对派在随后的选举中的胜利并没有产生民主成果。第二个问题考察了为什么某些国家的政府更迭比其他国家更频繁；并揭示了政府在建国选举中的更替、政治竞争水平和选举质量会增加更替的几率。这些发现有助于将非洲的选举、民主和更替联系起来的文献。

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Elections as Vehicles for Change? Explaining different outcomes of democratic performance and government alternation in Africa1

Does having more regular elections improve democratic performance in Africa? And have elections transformed the patterns of alternation in government? To answer these questions, two analyses are conducted drawing on an original dataset of 179 elections in 27 African countries, from the founding multiparty elections until 2019. The first tests the effects of alternation in government on democratic performance and shows that while alternation in government in the founding elections improves democratic performance, opposition victories in subsequent elections do not produce democratic gains. The second examines why alternation in government is more frequent in certain countries than in others; and reveals that the odds of turnover are increased by alternation in government in the founding elections, the level of political competition and the quality of elections. These findings contribute to literature linking elections, democracy and turnover in Africa.

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来源期刊

Cadernos de Estudos Africanos Arts and Humanities-Arts and Humanities (all)

CiteScore

0.20

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

48 weeks

期刊介绍： Cadernos de Estudos Africanos is a journal published by the Centro de Estudos Internacionais of ISCTE-IUL, Lisbon focusing on an academic approach to Africa. It welcomes the collaboration of the international scientific community, who specializes in the Social Sciences branch of African Studies, and it is particularly committed to an internationalizing scope, following a multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary envisioning. The journal publishes articles in four languages, Portuguese, English, Spanish and French, and it has been a regular biannual publication since its first issue (July 2001).