评估生活在遥远北方的人们因暴露于气候因素而造成的健康风险

Q3 Medicine
P. Shur, D. Kiryanov, М.R. Kamaltdinov, А.А. Khasanova
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引用次数: 2

摘要

远北地区的极端气候条件给生活在那里的人们带来了健康风险。鉴于必须适应这些条件,评估暴露于极端气候因素所造成的健康风险似乎至关重要。这样的评估将有机会确定和量化气候因素对公共卫生的影响。这项任务是评估生活在俄罗斯远北地区的成人和儿童的风险率。为此,我们分析了先前确定的气候因素(大气压和大气温度、空气湿度和风速(作为正常等效有效温度- NEET的指标))的“暴露-效应”关系。计算了与暴露于气候因素和发生风险率相关的额外发病率可能性,然后根据使用数学建模技术的分析结果确定了其特征。结果,我们确定了生活在遥远北方的人口中平均每月NEET、每日压力下降和发病率之间的因果关系参数。我们确定了与NEET和大气压产生的影响相关的循环系统疾病、呼吸系统疾病、伤害、中毒以及与NEET产生的影响相关的某些外部原因的其他后果对成年人造成的不可接受的健康风险。我们还确定了与NEET产生的影响有关的呼吸系统疾病、伤害、中毒和某些其他外因后果对儿童造成的不可接受的健康风险。这项研究的结果可以为开展旨在促进适应现有气候条件的活动提供指导,以保护公众健康。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing health risks caused by exposure to climatic factors for people living in the far north
Extreme climatic conditions in the Far North region create health risks for people living there. Given the necessity to adapt to these conditions, it seems vital to assess health risks caused by exposure to extreme climatic factors. Such an assessment will give an opportunity to establish and quantify influence exerted by climatic factors on public health. The task was to assess risk rates for adults and children living in the Far North region in Russia. To do that, we analyzed the “exposure – effect” relationship for previously established climatic factors (atmospheric pressure and atmospheric air temperature, air humidity, and wind speed (as an index of the normal equivalent-effective temperature – NEET). Additional likelihood of incidence associated with exposure to climatic factors and occurring risk rates were calculated and then characterized based on the results of the analysis using mathematical modeling techniques. As a result, we identified parameters of a cause-effect relation between average monthly NEET, daily pressure drops and incidence among population living in the Far North. We established unacceptable health risks for adults caused by diseases of the circulatory system that were associated with effects produced by NEET and atmospheric pressure, diseases of the respiratory system, injury, poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes associated with effects produced by NEET. We also established unacceptable health risks for children caused by diseases of the respiratory system, injury, poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes associated with effects produced by NEET. The results produced by this study can provide a guideline for developing activities aimed at facilitating adaptation to the existing climatic conditions in order to preserve public health.
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来源期刊
Health Risk Analysis
Health Risk Analysis Medicine-Health Policy
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
38
审稿时长
20 weeks
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