有史以来最重要的事情:大数据、坏数据和人类预期寿命翻倍

Pub Date : 2021-05-06 DOI:10.1177/15385132211013797
Stephen Berry
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引用次数: 0

摘要

1850年至1950年间,人类预期寿命在全球范围内翻了一番,这可以说是有史以来最重要的事情,它为人类生活和生活方式的巨大改善奠定了基础,同时也导致了昆虫灭绝、海洋腐烂和生态系统崩溃。全球翻倍的故事通常被描述为一系列医学突破——詹纳与疫苗接种、李斯特与防腐剂、斯诺与细菌理论、弗莱明与青霉素——但大部分功劳属于基于良好数据的城市规划。在我们拥有复杂的死亡登记系统之前,我们无法想象我们面临的健康问题,更不用说解决这些问题了。今天,我们面临的最大威胁不是疾病,而是数据被拒。
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The Most Important Thing That Ever Happened: Big, Bad Data and the Doubling of Human Life Expectancy
The global doubling of human life expectancy between 1850 and 1950 is arguably the most important thing that ever happened, undergirding massive improvements in human life and lifestyles while also contributing to insectageddons, septic oceans, and collapsing ecosystems. The story of that global doubling is typically told as a series of medical breakthroughs—Jenner and vaccination, Lister and antisepsis, Snow and germ theory, and Fleming and penicillin—but the lion’s share of the credit belongs to urban planning based upon good data. Until we had sophisticated systems of death registration, we could not conceive of the health problems we were facing, much less solve them. Today, the greatest threat we face is not disease but data denial.
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