贝宁(西非)上空降水、辐射和温度再分析估算值的评估

IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
René Bodjrènou, J. Cohard, B. Hector, E. Lawin, G. Chagnaud, D. Danso, Yèkambèssoun N’Tcha M’Po, Félicien D. Badou, B. Ahamidé
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在西非,气候数据问题,特别是可用性和质量问题,仍然是分布式水文建模发展和应用的一个重大制约因素。作为地面观测的替代方案,再分析产品近年来受到越来越多的关注。本研究旨在对1981 - 2019年的ERA5、WFDE5和MERRA2三个再分析产品进行评估,以确定它们在一定空间和时间尺度上代表贝宁四个水文气候变量的能力。再分析产品的变量与基于点站数据的克林古普塔效率(KGE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)、相关性和年降水量相对误差(REPA)进行了比较。结果表明,ERA5与年平均气温的相关性(0.74 ~ 0.90)高于WFDE5(0.63 ~ 0.78)和MERRA2(0.25 ~ 0.65)。ERA5和WFDE5都能重现该地区观测到的温度上升趋势(0.2°C/ 10年)。我们注意到,除了WFDE5(~0.1°C)外,所有再分析的系统冷偏为~1.3°C。在月时间尺度上,ERA5和WFDE5 (KGE≥0.80)比MERRA2 (KGE < 0.5)能更好地再现该地区的温度。在所有时间尺度上,WFDE5对长波(LW)和短波(SW)辐射的MAE得分最高,其次是ERA5。WFDE5还提供了年降水量的最佳估计(REPA∈]- 25,25[,大多数站点的KGE≥50%)。ERA5产生了类似的结果,但是MERRA2在所有指标上的表现都很差。此外,与MERRA2不同,ERA5和WFDE5重现了贝宁南部的双峰降雨状态,但所有产品都有太多的小降雨事件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of reanalysis estimates of precipitation, radiation and temperature over Benin (West Africa)
In West Africa, climatic data issues, especially availability and quality, remain a significant constraint to the development and application of distributed hydrological modeling. As alternatives to ground-based observations, reanalysis products have received increasing attention in recent years. This study aims to evaluate three reanalysis products, namely, ERA5, WFDE5, and MERRA2, from 1981 to 2019 to determine their ability to represent four hydrological climates variables over a range of space and timescales in Benin. The variables from the reanalysis products are compared to point station data-based metrics Kling Gupta Efficiency (KGE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), correlation, and Relative Error in Precipitation Annual (REPA). The results show that ERA5 presents a better correlation for annual mean temperature (between 0.74-0.90) compared to WFDE5 (0.63-0.78) and MERRA2 (0.25-0.65). Both ERA5 and WFDE5 are able to reproduce the observed upward trend of temperature (0.2°C/decade) in the region. We noted a systematic cold bias of ~1.3°C in all reanalyses except WFDE5 (~0.1°C). On the monthly timescale, the temperature of the region is better reproduced by ERA5 and WFDE5 (KGE ≥ 0.80) compared to MERRA2 (KGE < 0.5). At all timescales, WFDE5 produces the best MAE scores for longwave (LW) and shortwave (SW) radiation followed by ERA5. WFDE5 also provides the best estimates for the annual precipitation (REPA ∈ ]-25, 25[ and KGE ≥ 50% at most stations). ERA5 produces similar results, but MERRA2 performs poorly in all the metrics. Additionally, ERA5 and WFDE5 reproduce the bimodal rainfall regime in southern Benin, unlike MERRA2, but all products have too many small rainfall events.
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来源期刊
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
6.70%
发文量
97
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (JAMC) (ISSN: 1558-8424; eISSN: 1558-8432) publishes applied research on meteorology and climatology. Examples of meteorological research include topics such as weather modification, satellite meteorology, radar meteorology, boundary layer processes, physical meteorology, air pollution meteorology (including dispersion and chemical processes), agricultural and forest meteorology, mountain meteorology, and applied meteorological numerical models. Examples of climatological research include the use of climate information in impact assessments, dynamical and statistical downscaling, seasonal climate forecast applications and verification, climate risk and vulnerability, development of climate monitoring tools, and urban and local climates.
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