关于“用非线性时间序列模型和尾部相关测度研究极值和系统风险”的讨论

IF 0.7 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Wen Xu, Huixia Judy Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

极值理论为尾部风险建模提供了必要的数学基础,具有广泛的应用前景。大数据和异构数据的出现呼唤新的极值理论和方法的发展。对于研究时间序列中的高维极值和极值簇,一个重要的问题是如何测量和检验随机变量之间的尾部相关性。张博士论文的3.1节讨论了一些新提出的尾部依赖度量。在大数据时代,如何研究来自异质人群(例如来自不同来源的数据)是一个及时且具有挑战性的问题。第3.2节回顾了最大值的最大值极值理论的一些新进展。3.1节和2.3节中的理论和方法为多元和异构数据的极值建模奠定了基础,我们认为它们具有广泛的适用性。我们将讨论两个可能的方向:(1)部分尾相关性的测量和检验;(2)极值理论在高维推理中的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Discussion on “on studying extreme values and systematic risks with nonlinear time series models and tail dependence measures”
Extreme value theory provides essential mathematical foundations for modelling tail risks and has wide applications. The emerging of big and heterogeneous data calls for the development of new extreme value theory and methods. For studying high-dimensional extremes and extreme clusters in time series, an important problem is how to measure and test for tail dependence between random variables. Section 3.1 of Dr. Zhang’s paper discusses some newly proposed tail dependence measures. In the era of big data, a timely and challenging question is how to study data from heterogeneous populations, e.g. from different sources. Section 3.2 reviews some new developments of extreme value theory for maxima of maxima. The theory and methods in Sections 3.1 and 2.3 set the foundations for modelling extremes of multivariate and heterogeneous data, and we believe they have wide applicability. We will discuss two possible directions: (1) measuring and testing of partial tail dependence; (2) application of the extreme value theory for maxima of maxima in highdimensional inference.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
20.00%
发文量
21
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