通过向可再生能源过渡来稳定地球气候可能吗?

IF 0.5 Q4 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
V. Arutyunov
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引用次数: 5

摘要

宇宙的进化是通过不断出现的复杂物体来进行的。随着组成物体变得更加复杂,它们与环境的能量交换强度增加,这对于抵消熵过程是必要的。我们的文明是最复杂的自然系统,随着自然系统的发展,其能源消耗不断增加,并且在未来不可避免地会增加。无论能源是化石碳氢化合物、热核能源还是太阳能辐射,这都会发生,而太阳能是所有可再生能源的唯一主要来源。后者在全球范围内的使用将降低地球的反照率。通过增加向太空发射低电位红外辐射来维持地球的热平衡将需要提高表面温度。因此,目前通过减少温室气体排放来管理气候过程的战略原则上无法防止文明进步所导致的不可避免的未来全球变暖,但需要巨大的资金、能源、自然资源和智力潜力。在提出关于文明发展方式的更现实的想法和相应的战略决策之前,我们与环境关系的最合理策略不是避免不可避免的变化,而是为它们做好准备。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is it Possible to Stabilize the Earth Climate by Transition to Renewable Energy?
The evolution of the Universe proceeds through the persistent complication of the appearing objects. As the constituent objects become more complex, the intensity of their energy exchange with the environment increases, which is necessary to counteract entropic processes. Our Civilization is the most complex of the natural systems, with the development of which its energy consumption has constantly increased and will inevitably increase in the future. This will happen regardless of the sources of energy, be it fossil hydrocarbons, thermonuclear energy, or solar radiation, which is the only primary source of all renewable energy. The use of the latter on a global scale will reduce the Earth’s albedo. Maintaining the thermal balance of the Earth by increasing the emission of low-potential IR radiation into space will require an increase in surface temperature. Thus, the current strategy of managing climate processes by reducing greenhouse gas emissions is in princi¬ple not capable of preventing the inevitable future global warming caused by the progressive development of Civilization, but will require enormous funds, energy, natural resources and intellectual potential. Until more realistic ideas about the ways of development of Civilization and the corresponding strategic decisions are put forward, the most rational tactic of our relationship with the environment is not to stave off inevitable changes, but to prepare for them.
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来源期刊
Eurasian Chemico-Technological Journal
Eurasian Chemico-Technological Journal CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
20.00%
发文量
6
审稿时长
20 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal is designed for publication of experimental and theoretical investigation results in the field of chemistry and chemical technology. Among priority fields that emphasized by chemical science are as follows: advanced materials and chemical technologies, current issues of organic synthesis and chemistry of natural compounds, physical chemistry, chemical physics, electro-photo-radiative-plasma chemistry, colloids, nanotechnologies, catalysis and surface-active materials, polymers, biochemistry.
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