迈向可持续岛屿的未来:海浪能源的设计

IF 0.6 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING

Journal of Futures Studies Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI:10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003

Max Willis, Greta Adamo, J. Hanna, J. Auger

{"title":"迈向可持续岛屿的未来:海浪能源的设计","authors":"Max Willis, Greta Adamo, J. Hanna, J. Auger","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This article explores the role of the future in contemporary technology design, and elaborates how imagination can influence the present through the mechanism of speculation. Three applications of futures are introduced: extrapolation examines present data and trends to predict possible futures, reflecting on the present imagines possible futures for insights on current practices, while backcasting visualizes a preferred future and plots a trajectory from the present to achieve it. Design speculations for Ocean Wave Energy capture systems are presented that illustrate the shaping of the future with conceptual prototypes, and a future narrative when humanity has averted a climate catastrophe.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Towards Sustainable Island Futures: Design for Ocean Wave Energy\",\"authors\":\"Max Willis, Greta Adamo, J. Hanna, J. Auger\",\"doi\":\"10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This article explores the role of the future in contemporary technology design, and elaborates how imagination can influence the present through the mechanism of speculation. Three applications of futures are introduced: extrapolation examines present data and trends to predict possible futures, reflecting on the present imagines possible futures for insights on current practices, while backcasting visualizes a preferred future and plots a trajectory from the present to achieve it. Design speculations for Ocean Wave Energy capture systems are presented that illustrate the shaping of the future with conceptual prototypes, and a future narrative when humanity has averted a climate catastrophe.\",\"PeriodicalId\":44849,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Futures Studies\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Futures Studies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Futures Studies","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

摘要

本文探讨了未来在当代技术设计中的作用，并阐述了想象力如何通过思辨机制影响现在。介绍了未来的三种应用：外推法考察了当前的数据和趋势，以预测可能的未来，反思当前，想象可能的未来以洞察当前的实践，而反向预测则可视化了一个首选的未来，并绘制了从现在到实现它的轨迹。介绍了海浪能捕获系统的设计推测，用概念原型说明了未来的塑造，以及当人类避免了气候灾难时的未来叙事。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Towards Sustainable Island Futures: Design for Ocean Wave Energy

This article explores the role of the future in contemporary technology design, and elaborates how imagination can influence the present through the mechanism of speculation. Three applications of futures are introduced: extrapolation examines present data and trends to predict possible futures, reflecting on the present imagines possible futures for insights on current practices, while backcasting visualizes a preferred future and plots a trajectory from the present to achieve it. Design speculations for Ocean Wave Energy capture systems are presented that illustrate the shaping of the future with conceptual prototypes, and a future narrative when humanity has averted a climate catastrophe.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Journal of Futures Studies REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING-

CiteScore

1.50

自引率

12.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Futures Studies is a globally-oriented, trans-disciplinary referred journal. Its mission is to develop high-quality, futures-oriented research and thinking based on the evolving knowledge base of Futures Studies. Articles accepted for publication are expected to show an in-depth understanding of the field"s dimensions, content, research perspectives and methods.