所罗门群岛-中国2022年安全协议:太平洋岛屿的治外法权和军事化危险

IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Jon Fraenkel, Graeme Smith
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引用次数: 2

摘要

2022年4月,中国与所罗门群岛签署了一项安全协议,这被认为是中国在太平洋建立海军基地的前兆。由于澳大利亚联邦大选临近,这些担忧在澳大利亚媒体上引发了耸人听闻的画面:中国的航空母舰驻扎在布里斯班海岸附近,制造了1962年古巴导弹危机的太平洋版。在本文中,我们研究了“框架协议”的条款,探讨了其基本原理,并考虑了预测的海军基地最终出现的可能性。我们还研究了自2019年外交承认从台北转向北京以来,中国在全球舞台上的治外法权以及中国在所罗门群岛的商业活动。我们认为,所罗门群岛总理玛纳西·索加瓦雷签署该协议主要是为了应对国内压力,特别是2021年11月在首都发生的重大骚乱重演的危险。最紧迫的风险不是驻扎在霍尼亚拉的中国军舰或核导弹,而是在处理城市骚乱时的镇压,而没有澳大利亚、巴布亚新几内亚、斐济或新西兰警察所要求的克制。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Solomons-China 2022 security deal: extraterritoriality and the perils of militarisation in the Pacific Islands
ABSTRACT A security deal struck between the Solomon Islands and China in April 2022 has been depicted as the precursor to the establishment of a Chinese naval base in the Pacific. Fed by the proximity of an Australian federal election, these fears have stimulated lurid images in the Australian press of Beijing's aircraft carriers being stationed off Brisbane's coast creating a Pacific version of the 1962 Cuban missile crisis. In this paper, we examine the provisions of the ‘framework agreement’, explore its rationale and consider the likelihood that the predicted naval base eventuates. We also investigate Chinese extraterritoriality on the global stage and Chinese commercial activity in the Solomons since the switch in diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing in 2019. We argue that Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare signed the deal primarily in response to domestic pressures, in particular the danger of a repeat of major riots that took place in the capital in November 2021. The most pressing risk is not Chinese warships or nuclear missiles stationed in Honiara, but repression to handle urban unrest without the restraint required of Australian, Papua New Guinean, Fijian or New Zealand police officers.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
13.30%
发文量
44
期刊介绍: AJIA is the journal of the Australian Institute of International Affairs. The Institute was established in 1933 as an independent and non-political body and its purpose is to stimulate interest in and understanding of international affairs among its members and the general public. The aim of the Australian Journal of International Affairs is to publish high quality scholarly research on international political, social, economic and legal issues, especially (but not exclusively) within the Asia-Pacific region. The journal publishes research articles, refereed review essays and commentary and provocation pieces. ''Articles'' are traditional scholarly articles. ‘Review essays’ use newly published books as the basis to thematically examine current events in International Relations. The journal also publishes commentaries and provocations which are high quality and engaging pieces of commentary, opinion and provocation in a variety of styles. The Australian Journal of International Affairs aims to analyse international issues for an Australian readership and to present Australian perspectives to readers in other countries. While seeking to stimulate interest in and understanding of international affairs, the journal does not seek to promote any particular policies or approaches. All suitable manuscripts submitted are sent to two referees in a full ''double blind'' refereeing process.
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