{"title":"随机临床试验的顺序设计和分析:历史视角","authors":"W. Rosenberger","doi":"10.1080/07474946.2020.1823190","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Sequential analysis, as invented by Wald, was not targeted to clinical trials; in fact, the randomized clinical trial was being invented nearly simultaneously by Hill on the other side of the Atlantic. The connection to clinical trials was established by Bross and Armitage in the early 1950s and applied in a number of trials during that decade. Restrictions in its applicability in practice led to a dry spell until its resurgence with group sequential methods. This article reviews the historical context of the use of sequential analysis in actual randomized clinical trials. It does not review methodological developments, except as they relate to the historical and philosophical setting.","PeriodicalId":48879,"journal":{"name":"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2020-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/07474946.2020.1823190","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Sequential design and analysis in the randomized clinical trial: A historical perspective\",\"authors\":\"W. Rosenberger\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/07474946.2020.1823190\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract Sequential analysis, as invented by Wald, was not targeted to clinical trials; in fact, the randomized clinical trial was being invented nearly simultaneously by Hill on the other side of the Atlantic. The connection to clinical trials was established by Bross and Armitage in the early 1950s and applied in a number of trials during that decade. Restrictions in its applicability in practice led to a dry spell until its resurgence with group sequential methods. This article reviews the historical context of the use of sequential analysis in actual randomized clinical trials. It does not review methodological developments, except as they relate to the historical and philosophical setting.\",\"PeriodicalId\":48879,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-07-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/07474946.2020.1823190\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/07474946.2020.1823190\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Sequential Analysis-Design Methods and Applications","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/07474946.2020.1823190","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Sequential design and analysis in the randomized clinical trial: A historical perspective
Abstract Sequential analysis, as invented by Wald, was not targeted to clinical trials; in fact, the randomized clinical trial was being invented nearly simultaneously by Hill on the other side of the Atlantic. The connection to clinical trials was established by Bross and Armitage in the early 1950s and applied in a number of trials during that decade. Restrictions in its applicability in practice led to a dry spell until its resurgence with group sequential methods. This article reviews the historical context of the use of sequential analysis in actual randomized clinical trials. It does not review methodological developments, except as they relate to the historical and philosophical setting.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Sequential Analysis is to contribute to theoretical and applied aspects of sequential methodologies in all areas of statistical science. Published papers highlight the development of new and important sequential approaches.
Interdisciplinary articles that emphasize the methodology of practical value to applied researchers and statistical consultants are highly encouraged. Papers that cover contemporary areas of applications including animal abundance, bioequivalence, communication science, computer simulations, data mining, directional data, disease mapping, environmental sampling, genome, imaging, microarrays, networking, parallel processing, pest management, sonar detection, spatial statistics, tracking, and engineering are deemed especially important. Of particular value are expository review articles that critically synthesize broad-based statistical issues. Papers on case-studies are also considered. All papers are refereed.