基于Cox-Ross-Rubinstein模型的寿险保单风险度量计算

M. Costabile
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引用次数: 1

摘要

寿险保单风险度量的计算问题由于必须使用两种不同的概率度量,即沿风险范围的真实概率度量和沿剩余时间区间的风险中性概率度量而变得复杂。这意味着蒙特卡罗方法的直接应用是不可用的,需要求助于耗时的嵌套模拟或最小二乘蒙特卡罗方法。我们建议使用Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein (1979) (CRR)的著名二项式模型来计算常见的风险度量。该方法的主要优点是CRR模型的通常构造不受度量变化的影响,并且可以在整个策略持续时间内使用唯一的格。数值结果表明,该算法计算精度高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Computing Risk Measures of Life Insurance Policies through the Cox–Ross–Rubinstein Model
The problem of computing risk measures of life insurance policies is complicated by the fact that two different probability measures, the real-world probability measure along the risk horizon and the risk-neutral one along the remaining time interval, have to be used. This implies that a straightforward application of the Monte Carlo method is not available and the need arises to resort to time consuming nested simulations or to the least squares Monte Carlo approach. We propose to compute common risk measures by using the celebrated binomial model of Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein (1979) (CRR). The main advantage of this approach is that the usual construction of the CRR model is not influenced by the change of measure and a unique lattice can be used along the whole policy duration. Numerical results highlight that the proposed algorithm computes highly accurate values.
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