{"title":"有限医疗资源下随机SIR模型的退出问题","authors":"Y.C. Mao, X.B. Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.taml.2022.100393","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Nonlinearity and randomness are both the essential attributes for the real world, and the case is the same for the models of infectious diseases, for which the deterministic models can not give a complete picture of the evolution. However, although there has been a lot of work on stochastic epidemic models, most of them focus mainly on qualitative properties, which makes us somewhat ignore the original meaning of the parameter value. In this paper we extend the classic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic model by adding a white noise excitation and then we utilize the large deviation theory to quantitatively study the long-term coexistence exit problem with epidemic. Finally, in order to extend the meaning of parameters in the corresponding deterministic system, we tentatively introduce two new thresholds which then prove rational.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46902,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Exit problem of stochastic SIR model with limited medical resource\",\"authors\":\"Y.C. Mao, X.B. Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.taml.2022.100393\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Nonlinearity and randomness are both the essential attributes for the real world, and the case is the same for the models of infectious diseases, for which the deterministic models can not give a complete picture of the evolution. However, although there has been a lot of work on stochastic epidemic models, most of them focus mainly on qualitative properties, which makes us somewhat ignore the original meaning of the parameter value. In this paper we extend the classic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic model by adding a white noise excitation and then we utilize the large deviation theory to quantitatively study the long-term coexistence exit problem with epidemic. Finally, in order to extend the meaning of parameters in the corresponding deterministic system, we tentatively introduce two new thresholds which then prove rational.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46902,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Letters\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095034922000733\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"MECHANICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Letters","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095034922000733","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MECHANICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Exit problem of stochastic SIR model with limited medical resource
Nonlinearity and randomness are both the essential attributes for the real world, and the case is the same for the models of infectious diseases, for which the deterministic models can not give a complete picture of the evolution. However, although there has been a lot of work on stochastic epidemic models, most of them focus mainly on qualitative properties, which makes us somewhat ignore the original meaning of the parameter value. In this paper we extend the classic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic model by adding a white noise excitation and then we utilize the large deviation theory to quantitatively study the long-term coexistence exit problem with epidemic. Finally, in order to extend the meaning of parameters in the corresponding deterministic system, we tentatively introduce two new thresholds which then prove rational.
期刊介绍:
An international journal devoted to rapid communications on novel and original research in the field of mechanics. TAML aims at publishing novel, cutting edge researches in theoretical, computational, and experimental mechanics. The journal provides fast publication of letter-sized articles and invited reviews within 3 months. We emphasize highlighting advances in science, engineering, and technology with originality and rapidity. Contributions include, but are not limited to, a variety of topics such as: • Aerospace and Aeronautical Engineering • Coastal and Ocean Engineering • Environment and Energy Engineering • Material and Structure Engineering • Biomedical Engineering • Mechanical and Transportation Engineering • Civil and Hydraulic Engineering Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Letters (TAML) was launched in 2011 and sponsored by Institute of Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences (IMCAS) and The Chinese Society of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics (CSTAM). It is the official publication the Beijing International Center for Theoretical and Applied Mechanics (BICTAM).