{"title":"高频金融数据风格化事实的波动率模型","authors":"Donggyu Kim, Minseok Shin","doi":"10.1111/jtsa.12666","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This article introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intraday U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility of the proposed volatility process has a realized GARCH structure with an asymmetric effect on log returns. To further explain the heavy-tailedness of the financial data, we assume that the log returns have a finite <math>\n <mrow>\n <mn>2</mn>\n <mi>b</mi>\n </mrow></math>th moment for <math>\n <mrow>\n <mi>b</mi>\n <mo>∈</mo>\n <mo>(</mo>\n <mn>1</mn>\n <mo>,</mo>\n <mn>2</mn>\n <mo>]</mo>\n </mrow></math>. Then, we propose a Huber regression estimator that has an optimal convergence rate of <math>\n <mrow>\n <msup>\n <mrow>\n <mi>n</mi>\n </mrow>\n <mrow>\n <mo>(</mo>\n <mn>1</mn>\n <mo>−</mo>\n <mi>b</mi>\n <mo>)</mo>\n <mo>/</mo>\n <mi>b</mi>\n </mrow>\n </msup>\n </mrow></math>. We also discuss how to adjust bias coming from Huber loss and show its asymptotic properties.</p>","PeriodicalId":49973,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Volatility models for stylized facts of high-frequency financial data\",\"authors\":\"Donggyu Kim, Minseok Shin\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jtsa.12666\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>This article introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intraday U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility of the proposed volatility process has a realized GARCH structure with an asymmetric effect on log returns. To further explain the heavy-tailedness of the financial data, we assume that the log returns have a finite <math>\\n <mrow>\\n <mn>2</mn>\\n <mi>b</mi>\\n </mrow></math>th moment for <math>\\n <mrow>\\n <mi>b</mi>\\n <mo>∈</mo>\\n <mo>(</mo>\\n <mn>1</mn>\\n <mo>,</mo>\\n <mn>2</mn>\\n <mo>]</mo>\\n </mrow></math>. Then, we propose a Huber regression estimator that has an optimal convergence rate of <math>\\n <mrow>\\n <msup>\\n <mrow>\\n <mi>n</mi>\\n </mrow>\\n <mrow>\\n <mo>(</mo>\\n <mn>1</mn>\\n <mo>−</mo>\\n <mi>b</mi>\\n <mo>)</mo>\\n <mo>/</mo>\\n <mi>b</mi>\\n </mrow>\\n </msup>\\n </mrow></math>. We also discuss how to adjust bias coming from Huber loss and show its asymptotic properties.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49973,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Time Series Analysis\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-08-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Time Series Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12666\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12666","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Volatility models for stylized facts of high-frequency financial data
This article introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intraday U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility of the proposed volatility process has a realized GARCH structure with an asymmetric effect on log returns. To further explain the heavy-tailedness of the financial data, we assume that the log returns have a finite th moment for . Then, we propose a Huber regression estimator that has an optimal convergence rate of . We also discuss how to adjust bias coming from Huber loss and show its asymptotic properties.
期刊介绍:
During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering.
The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.