基于Feltham和Ohlson模型的会计方法的股票估值

Hendryan Marudut Tua Purba, Adler Haymans Manurung, Jhonni Sinaga
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引用次数: 0

摘要

剩余收益模型(RIM)是Feltham和Ohlson提出并使用的一种会计方法,它利用基于大多数当前信息的未来收益来衡量企业价值。利用企业盈余与帐面价值之间的盈余关系,以一致的方式进行预测。本研究使用RIM对2010-2019年在印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)上市的制药公司股票进行估值,以便能够估计2020-2023年公司股票的内在价值或公允价值,并将其与当前市值进行比较,并作为决策的基础。利用印尼宏观经济信息预测制药公司未来价值,利用股票市场信息确定市场价值和投资利率。DVLA, INAF, KAEF, KLBF, MERK和PYFA的股票内在价值确认低于2020-2023年的市值。但是,SCPI的股票内在价值高于市场价值。因此,TSPC的股票内在价值是公平的。有6(6)家公司的股票被高估或昂贵,1(1)家公司的股票被低估或便宜,另一家是公平的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Valuate Stock Based on Accounting Approach Using Feltham and Ohlson Model
Residual Income Model (RIM) is an accounting approach introduced and used by Feltham and Ohlson to measure firm value using future income based on most current information. The surplus relation applying firm earning and book value is used to forecast with consistent manner. This research uses RIM to valuate the pharmaceutical companies’ stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the year of 2010-2019 to be able to estimate the intrinsic or fair values of the companies’ shares for the year of 2020-2023, compared to their current market values and used as the basis to make decisions. Macro economy information of Indonesia that strongly relate to the pharmaceutical companies are applied to forecast the future values of the companies and the stock market information to determine the market values and the investment interest rates. The stock intrinsic values of DVLA, INAF, KAEF, KLBF, MERK and PYFA are confirmed below the market values for the year of 2020-2023. But, the stock intrinsic values of SCPI are above the market values. Thus, the stock intrinsic values of TSPC are fair. There are 6 (six) company stocks overvalued or expensive, 1 (one) company stock is undervalued or cheap, and another is fair. 
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