有管理的撤退——国际和比较视角下的减灾战略

S. Greiving, Juan Du, Wiriya Puntub
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引用次数: 20

摘要

目前,空间规划在减轻灾害风险方面的潜力尚未充分发挥,特别是在灾害易发地区的居民和基础设施管理撤退的背景下。撤退作为调整空间格局、分化城市增长、降低灾前灾后风险、实现城市韧性和“重建得更好”的发展机遇被低估。除了迄今取得的成功很少之外,还缺乏针对具体情况的经验教训,特别是在如何确定计划撤退的优先次序方面。在本文中,我们试图调查发展中国家和发达国家灾害风险相关撤退的潜在障碍、挑战和机遇。通过对几个国家的研究,我们对不同发展环境和灾害背景下的撤退策略进行了回顾和分类,并强调了对被动和主动撤退策略的比较讨论。我们认为,有管理的撤退可以成为一种有效的减灾空间弹性策略。我们建议研究撤退的成功因素,其指标和标准,与现场升级的平衡以及撤退类型的应用。我们强调一些关键方面,包括加强风险治理的机构能力,采用具有法律约束力的灾害地图和灾害控制的土地使用,特别是在灾害发生前。我们投票支持将经济适用房嵌入规划的撤退方案,并通过可行的生计策略维持安置点,最后监测和评估撤退方案的影响以及城市发展和生计表现。我们还强调以社区为导向的撤退策略和参与机制,以确保居民在撤退规划过程中关注当地环境。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Managed Retreat — A Strategy for the Mitigation of Disaster Risks with International and Comparative Perspectives
Currently, potentials of spatial planning in disaster risk mitigation have not yet been fully tapped, especially in the context of managed retreat regarding both inhabitants and infrastructure in hazard prone areas. Retreat as a development opportunity in adjusting spatial patterns, diverging urban growth, reducing risks in pre- and post-disasters, achieving urban resilience and “Build Back Better” is undervalued. Besides little success achieved so far, there is a lack of context-specific lessons learnt, particularly in how to prioritize planned retreat. In this paper we attempt to investigate potential barriers, challenges and opportunities of disaster risk-related retreat in both developing and developed countries. Using several country studies, we review and categorise retreat strategies in different development settings and disaster contexts and highlight comparative discussions of both reactive and proactive retreat strategies. We argue that managed retreat can be an effective spatial resilience strategy in disaster mitigation. We propose to examine success factors of retreat, its indicators and criteria, a balance with on-site upgrading and an application of retreat typologies. We emphasise critical aspects including the enhancement of institutional capacity in risk governance, the adoption of legally binding hazard maps and hazard-controlled land use, especially prior to disasters. We vote for embedding of affordable housing with planned retreat schemes and sustaining resettlement sites with viable livelihood strategies, and finally monitoring and evaluating impacts of retreat schemes along with urban development and livelihood performance. We also emphasise community-driven retreat strategies with participation mechanism to ensure inhabitants’ concerns in retreat planning processes to its local context.
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