疫情对捷克创业活动的第一年影响

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS
O. Dvouletý
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引用次数: 3

摘要

每一次危机都会影响创业活动;对一些企业家来说,这是一个重新开始的机会;其他人则被迫关闭自己的企业。本研究旨在分析全球冠状病毒(即新冠肺炎)大流行对捷克创业活动的影响。本文利用了2008-2020年77个地方行政单位(LAU1)地区的行政数据。数据来自捷克统计局。这项研究深入了解了疫情的短期影响,即一年后。将新企业注册和关闭的预测值与2020年底后获得的实际值进行比较的面板回归模型和安慰剂测试的结果并没有表明捷克的创业活动会显著下降。相反,数据显示,与2019年相比,捷克的创业活动有所增长,甚至有所增加。然而,需要谨慎解读所获得的结果,因为许多因素影响了捷克企业的发展。具体而言,我们提到了过去的经济增长、公共创业和中小企业政策工具的引入以及企业主的财务支持。所进行的研究有几个启示。例如,有必要观察疫情对商业人口统计及其结构的长期影响。我们建议研究旅游、酒店、文化或体育等受害最严重行业的破产率变化,并将其与更容易将其商业活动转移到网上的行业进行比较。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A First Year’s Impact of the Pandemic on the Czech Entrepreneurial Activity
Every crisis affects entrepreneurial activity; for some entrepreneurs, it is an opportunity for a new start; others are forced to shut down their businesses. This study aimed to analyze the effect of the global coronavirus (so-called COVID-19) pandemic on Czech entrepreneurial activity. The article exploits the administrative data covering business demographics of seventy-seven Local Administrative Units (LAU1) regions over the years 2008-2020. Data were obtained from the Czech Statistical Office. The study provides insights into the short term effects of the pandemic, i.e. one year after. The results from the panel regression models and placebo tests comparing forecasted values of new businesses registrations and closures with actual values obtained after the end of 2020 do not show that there would be a significant drop in the Czech entrepreneurial activity. On the opposite, the data indicate that the Czech entrepreneurial activity grew and even increased compared with 2019. However, the obtained results need to be interpreted with caution, as many factors influenced Czech businesses’ development. Specifically, we mention the past economic growth, the introduction of public entrepreneurship and SME policy instruments and financial back-ups of the business owners. There are several implications of the conducted research. For instance, there is a need to observe the long-term effects of the pandemic on business demography and its structure. We propose to study changes in bankruptcy rates in the most harmed sectors such as tourism, hospitality, culture or sport and compare them with sectors that could easier transfer their business activities online.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
审稿时长
25 weeks
期刊介绍: Foresight and STI Governance is an international interdisciplinary peer-reviewed open-access journal. It publishes original research articles, offering new theoretical insights and practical knowledge related to the following areas: strategic planning, science, technology, and innovation (STI) policy, foresight and other future studies. The journal considers articles on the following themes: - Foresight methods and best practices; - Long-term social and economic priorities for strategic planning and policy making; - Innovation strategies at the national, regional, sectoral, and corporate levels; - The development of National Innovation Systems; - The analysis of the innovation lifecycle from idea to the market; - Technological trends, breakthroughs, and grand challenges; - Technological changes and their implications for economy, policy-making, and society; - Corporate innovation management; - Human capital in STI.
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