布达佩斯微尺度选民投票率空间建模的基于区域和非对称点分配插值方法

IF 0.7 Q4 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL

Geographia Technica Pub Date : 2021-02-02 DOI:10.21163/GT_2021.161.06

T. Kovalcsik, B. Szabó, György Vida, L. Boros

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引用次数: 2

摘要

选民投票率的空间和时间分布可以作为社会人口进程的适当指标。由于选举比全国人口普查举行得更频繁，其结果可能会使我们对人口的时间变化有更准确的了解。由于统计应用和查询的发展，在较小的地理尺度上收集数据使研究人员能够在微观尺度上分析社会和政治进程。这类研究尤其适用于分析人口集中程度高、变化速度快的都市圈的转型。因此，本文旨在开发一种方法，用于重新聚合在布达佩斯(匈牙利)不同选举中空间不一致的选区级选举结果。所提出的基于区域的非对称点分配插值方法可以将区域聚集但不一致的选举结果转化为一个目标细分。不同城市地区选民投票率的变化与城市内部郊区化、中产阶级化、学生化或前工业(过渡)地区的转型等社会人口进程有关。

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AREA-BASED AND DASYMETRIC POINT ALLOCATION INTERPOLATION METHOD FOR SPATIAL MODELLING MICRO-SCALE VOTER TURNOUT IN BUDAPEST

: Spatial and temporal distribution of voter turnout can be an appropriate indicator of socio-demographic processes. Since elections are held more frequently than national censuses, their results may refine our picture of the temporal changes of the population. Due to the evolution of statistical applications and queries, gathering data on smaller geographical scales enables researchers to analyze social and political processes on a micro-scale. This kind of research is particularly relevant in the analysis of the transformation of metropolitan areas with significant population concentration are characterized by rapid transformation and high degree of variation. Therefore, the paper aims to develop a method for reaggregating precinct-level electoral results which are spatially inconsistent throughout different elections in the case of Budapest (Hungary). The developed area-based and dasymetric point allocation interpolation can transform the territorially aggregated but inconsistent electoral results into one target subdivision. The changes of voter turnout in different urban areas are related to socio-demographic processes, such as inner suburbanization, gentrification, studentification, or the transformation of former industrial (transitional) areas within the city.

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来源期刊

Geographia Technica GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL-

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

14.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Geographia Technica is a journal devoted to the publication of all papers on all aspects of the use of technical and quantitative methods in geographical research. It aims at presenting its readers with the latest developments in G.I.S technology, mathematical methods applicable to any field of geography, territorial micro-scalar and laboratory experiments, and the latest developments induced by the measurement techniques to the geographical research. Geographia Technica is dedicated to all those who understand that nowadays every field of geography can only be described by specific numerical values, variables both oftime and space which require the sort of numerical analysis only possible with the aid of technical and quantitative methods offered by powerful computers and dedicated software. Our understanding of Geographia Technica expands the concept of technical methods applied to geography to its broadest sense and for that, papers of different interests such as: G.l.S, Spatial Analysis, Remote Sensing, Cartography or Geostatistics as well as papers which, by promoting the above mentioned directions bring a technical approach in the fields of hydrology, climatology, geomorphology, human geography territorial planning are more than welcomed provided they are of sufficient wide interest and relevance.