增强社会抵御气候变化风险的能力:以受极端气候影响国家为例

IF 3.5 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Xiaobing Huang, Y. Khan, Noman Arshed, Sultan Salem, Muhammad Ghulam Shabeer, U. Hanif
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的社会发展是每个国家的最终目标,而气候变化是一个主要的绊脚石。气候风险指数记录了几起气候变化事件及其造成的生命损失和经济成本。本研究旨在将气候变化和可再生能源与受极端气候影响国家的社会进步联系起来。设计/方法/方法这项研究使用了十年中受气候影响最严重的50个国家,并估计了气候风险对社会进步的影响,以及可再生能源和技术的适度影响。几个相互竞争的面板数据模型,如分位数回归、bootstrap分位数回归和可行广义最小二乘法,用于生成稳健估计。研究结果证实,气候危害阻碍了社会经济进步,但可再生能源和技术可以帮助减轻影响。此外,制度的改善促进了各国的社会进步。研究局限性/影响政府应提高机构质量,提高其在声音和问责制、政治稳定和无暴力、政府效能、监管质量、法治和腐败控制方面的表现,以促进社会进步。此外,社会应该使用可再生能源而不是化石燃料,以避免环境退化和健康危害。创新和技术在社会进步和生活水平方面也发挥着重要作用,因此应该自由支配私营企业的研究和发展,鼓励研究机构和大学站出来进行创新和研究。实践意义所有人类斗争的最终目标是取得进步,促进人类提高生活水平。能够告诉我们一个国家进步的最佳衡量标准之一是社会进步指数,而气候是能够突然改变这一指数的众多因素之一;因此,本研究试图将这些变量之间的关系联系起来,并讨论气候影响可以减少的情况。社会含义尽管社会进步是当今经济学讨论的一个重要概念,但相对较少的研究使用SPI来衡量社会福祉。同样,人们对气候对人民、政府和作物的影响达成了共识,但对其对社会进步的总体影响的研究相对较少,因此本研究试图填补社会进步与气候变化之间关系的空白。原创性/价值本研究的主要贡献是解决气候风险的影响。气候风险不在人类的控制范围内,我们无法消除它,但我们可以减少气候变化的负面影响。可再生能源的适度影响减少了气候变化的负面影响,因此有必要使用更多的可再生能源来减轻气候对社会进步的不良影响。另一个调节因素是技术;使用技术也将减轻气候的负面影响,因此有必要促进技术进步。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Increasing social resilience against climate change risks: a case of extreme climate affected countries
Purpose Social development is the ultimate goal of every nation, and climate change is a major stumbling block. Climate Risk Index has documented several climate change events with their devastations in terms of lives lost and economic cost. This study aims to link the climate change and renewable energy with the social progress of extreme climate affected countries. Design/methodology/approach This research used the top 50 most climate-affected countries of the decade and estimated the impact of climate risk on social progress with moderation effects of renewable energy and technology. Several competing panel data models such as quantile regression, bootstrap quantile regression and feasible generalized least square are used to generate robust estimates. Findings The results confirm that climate hazards obstruct socioeconomic progress, but renewable energy and technology can help to mitigate the repercussion. Moreover, improved institutions enhance the social progress of nations. Research limitations/implications Government should improve the institutional quality that enhances their performance in terms of Voice and Accountability, Political Stability and Absence of Violence, Government Effectiveness, Regulatory Quality, Rule of Law and Control of Corruption to increase social progress. In addition, society should use renewable energy instead of fossil fuels to avoid environmental degradation and health hazards. Innovation and technology also play an important role in social progress and living standards, so there should be free hand to private business research and development, encouraging research institutes and universities to come forward for innovation and research. Practical implications The ultimate goal of all human struggle is to have progress that facilitates human beings to uplift their living standard. One of the best measures that can tell us about a nation’s progress is Social Progress Index (SPI), and one of many factors that can abruptly change it is the climate; so this study is an attempt to link the relationship among these variables and also discuss the situation where the impact of climate can be reduced. Social implications Although social progress is an important concept of today’s economics discussion, relatively few studies are using the SPI to measure social well-being. Similarly, there is consensus about the impact of climate on people, government and crops but relatively less study about its overall impact on social progress, so this study attempts to fill the gap about the relationship between social progress and climate change. Originality/value The main contribution of this study is the solution for the impact of climate risk. Climate risk is not in human control, and we cannot eliminate it, but we can reduce the negative impacts of climate change. Moderator impact of renewable energy decreases the negative impact of climate change, so there is a need to use more renewable energy to mitigate the bad consequences of climate on social progress. Another moderator is technology; using technology will also mitigate the negative consequences of the climate, so there is a need to facilitate technological advancement.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
43
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Effective from volume 10 (2018), International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an open access journal. In the history of science there have been only a few issues which have mobilized the attention of scientists and policy-makers alike as the issue of climate change currently does. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an international forum that addresses the need for disseminating scholarly research, projects and other initiatives aimed to facilitate a better understanding of the subject matter of climate change. The journal publishes papers dealing with policy-making on climate change, and methodological approaches to cope with the problems deriving from climate change. It disseminates experiences from projects and case studies where due consideration to environmental, economic, social and political aspects is given and especially the links and leverages that can be attained by this holistic approach. It regards climate change under the perspective of its wider implications: for economic growth, water and food security, and for people''s survival – especially those living in the poorest communities in developing countries.
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