使用托宾Q比率的传统银行盈利能力和股票表现的微观和宏观经济决定因素:来自巴基斯坦银行业的证据

J. Rolle, Bushra Javed, Gobind M. Herani
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引用次数: 4

摘要

金融部门是促进可持续经济增长的关键因素。商业银行在提高金融部门经济绩效方面发挥着重要作用,其盈利能力与整个经济的稳健性密切相关。本研究的目的是确定盈利能力的内部决定因素(银行特定因素)和外部决定因素(宏观经济因素)。在这方面,该研究采用了定量研究设计,使用了巴基斯坦17家商业银行2014-2018年期间的面板数据。本研究分析的内部因素包括流动性、规模和资本充足率。而外部因素是国内生产总值和通货膨胀。使用简单的OLS回归和托宾Q比对数据进行分析。分析表明,国内生产总值对盈利能力有重大影响。然而,通货膨胀对盈利能力没有影响。大多数银行的托宾Q比率都在增加,这反映了它们的均衡地位。根据研究结果,该研究建议了一些政策,鼓励银行降低信贷风险,最大限度地减少流动性持有。此外,政府亦应采取适当措施,增强投资者对股市的信心。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Micro and macroeconomic determinants of profitability of conventional banks and stock performance using Tobin’s Q ratio: Evidence from the banking sector of Pakistan
The financial sector is the key player to enhance sustainable economic growth. Commercial banks play an important role to improve the performance of the financial sector of the economy and their profitability is closely connected to the soundness of the entire economy. The purpose of this study is to determine the internal determinants (bank-specific) and external determinants (macro-economic) of profitability. In this regard, the study adopted a quantitative research design by using the panel data of 17 commercial banks of Pakistan over the period of 2014-2018. Internal factors analyzed in this study were Liquidity, Size, and Capital Adequacy. While external factors were Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Inflation. The data was analyzed by using simple OLS regression and Tobin’s Q ratio. The analysis showed that GDP has a significant impact on profitability. However, inflation has no impact on profitability. Tobin’s Q ratio of most of the banks is increasing which depicted their equilibrium position. Based on the findings, the study recommended some policies that will encourage banks to reduce credit risk and minimize their liquidity holdings. Moreover, the Government should take the proper initiatives to enhance the confidence of investors towards the stock market.
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