分析气候变化适应的农业推广模式:以斯里兰卡农民为例

M. M. Mustafa, M. B. Baig, F. Marikar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要气候变化和变异威胁着农业和粮食生产的可持续性,特别是在农业社区。在斯里兰卡,预计到2050年降雨量将减少近10%,气温可能会出现最大幅度的上升。尽管气候变化对农业生产力有潜在的风险,但斯里兰卡没有专门的政策来应对气候变化。此外,斯里兰卡缺乏研究,以了解影响农民适应气候变化的因素以及与农户适应能力的制度联系。在这项研究中,我们采用了来自世界银行和斯里兰卡中央银行的二手数据,以显示由于城市化以及农业社区的低教育水平,农业人口减少和森林砍伐是如何发生的。结果表明,拥有气候变率适应策略的大多数农民在很大程度上受到本土知识的影响。妇女和低收入者不太可能采用气候变化适应战略来提高其农业生产力。研究结果表明,需要农业推广人员服务,使他们留在工业中,并引入新的森林计划来碳沉积,最终减少城市化进程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Agriculture farming extension model for analysing climate change adaptation: A case study of Sri Lankan farmers
Abstract. Climate change and variability threaten the sustainability of agricultural and food production, especially in agrarian communities. In Sri Lanka, rainfall is expected to decline by almost 10% by the year 2050 and the largest increase in temperature can be experienced. Despite the potential risks of climate change on agricultural productivity, Sri Lanka does not have a dedicated policy to respond to climate change. Furthermore, there is a dearth of research done in Sri Lanka to provide an understanding of factors that shape farmers’ adaptation to climate change and institutional link to the adaptive capacity of farming households. In this study we have taken secondary data from the World Bank and Central Bank of Sri Lanka to show how the farming population decreased and deforesting occurred due to the urbanization as well as to low education of the farming community. The results show that the majority of farmers who have climate variability adaptation strategies in place are largely influenced by indigenous knowledge. Women and low-income earners are less likely to employ climate change adaptation strategies in order to improve their agricultural productivity. The results have implications that agricultural extension officers service is needed to keep them in the industry and introduce new foresting schemes to carbon deposit and finally reduce the urbanization process.
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