流行病与地区经济增长：来自意大利大流感的证据

IF 1.2 1区历史学 Q3 ECONOMICS

European Review of Economic History Pub Date : 2021-05-03 DOI:10.1093/EREHJ/HEAB009

Mario F. Carillo, T. Jappelli

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引用次数: 12

摘要

我们调查了1918年大流感与意大利地区经济增长之间的联系，在意大利，公共当局为遏制疫情蔓延而采取的措施有限或无效。疫情在意大利造成60万人死亡，占总人口的1.2%。从死亡率最低的地区到死亡率最高的地区，人均GDP增长率下降6.5%，这一下降在3年内消失。我们的估计提供了在没有非药物公共卫生干预的情况下，流行病对区域经济增长不利影响的上限。

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Pandemics and regional economic growth: evidence from the Great Influenza in Italy

We investigate the link between the 1918 Great Influenza and regional economic growth in Italy, a country in which the measures implemented by public authorities to contain the contagion were limited or ineffective. The pandemic caused 600,000 deaths in Italy: 1.2% of the population. Going from regions with the lowest mortality to those with the highest mortality is associated to a decline in per capita GDP growth of 6.5%, which dissipated within 3 years. Our estimates provide an upper bound of the adverse effect of pandemics on regional economic growth in the absence of non-pharmaceutical public-health interventions.

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来源期刊

European Review of Economic History Multiple-

CiteScore

2.60

自引率

7.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： European Review of Economic History has established itself as a major outlet for high-quality research in economic history, which is accessible to readers from a variety of different backgrounds. The Review publishes articles on a wide range of topics in European, comparative and world economic history. Contributions shed new light on existing debates, raise new or previously neglected topics and provide fresh perspectives from comparative research. The Review includes full-length articles, shorter articles, notes and comments, debates, survey articles, and review articles. It also publishes notes and announcements from the European Historical Economics Society.