{"title":"我们能为达克沃斯-刘易斯规则辩护吗?","authors":"Kalyan Joshi, M. B. Rajarshi","doi":"10.4038/sljastats.v19i3.8046","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In a one-day international cricket match, due to disturbances such as rain or storm, at least one of teams cannot bat for stipulated fifty overs. The Duckworth-Lewis rule is then applied so that the match possibly ends up with a decision. We explore whether the rule can be justified based on statistical analysis of outcomes of oneday matches in which all the stipulated overs were bowled as well as matches in which it was needed to apply the rule. Our analysis shows that the rule is quite fair.","PeriodicalId":91408,"journal":{"name":"Sri Lankan journal of applied statistics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Can We Ex Post Facto Justify Duckworth-Lewis Rule?\",\"authors\":\"Kalyan Joshi, M. B. Rajarshi\",\"doi\":\"10.4038/sljastats.v19i3.8046\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In a one-day international cricket match, due to disturbances such as rain or storm, at least one of teams cannot bat for stipulated fifty overs. The Duckworth-Lewis rule is then applied so that the match possibly ends up with a decision. We explore whether the rule can be justified based on statistical analysis of outcomes of oneday matches in which all the stipulated overs were bowled as well as matches in which it was needed to apply the rule. Our analysis shows that the rule is quite fair.\",\"PeriodicalId\":91408,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Sri Lankan journal of applied statistics\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-12-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Sri Lankan journal of applied statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4038/sljastats.v19i3.8046\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Sri Lankan journal of applied statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4038/sljastats.v19i3.8046","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Can We Ex Post Facto Justify Duckworth-Lewis Rule?
In a one-day international cricket match, due to disturbances such as rain or storm, at least one of teams cannot bat for stipulated fifty overs. The Duckworth-Lewis rule is then applied so that the match possibly ends up with a decision. We explore whether the rule can be justified based on statistical analysis of outcomes of oneday matches in which all the stipulated overs were bowled as well as matches in which it was needed to apply the rule. Our analysis shows that the rule is quite fair.