{"title":"基于混合物理数据的DNN在沉管隧道节点轴向位移预测中的应用","authors":"Wei Yan, Yu Yan, Ping Shen, Wanqi Zhou","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2023.2169941","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Due to complex interactions between immersed tunnel and surrounding environment, it is difficult to apply theoretical analysis for axial displacement (DIS) of immersion joints. To develop a generalised model for DIS prediction, Deep Neural Network (DNN) could be considered. However, the spatial generalisation of black-box DNN models is not always convincible for small data. In this study, we proposed a novel hybrid physical data (HPD) informed DNN model with improved spatial generalisation for prediction of DIS. The physical mechanism of DIS is firstly analysed by correlation between DIS and other monitoring data. The HPD is then created based on the physical analysis and contributes to the DNN as a substituting feature rather than an additional feature. Three DNN models fed with different groups of features are compared, while the proposed HPD-DNN has outperformed others in terms of both prediction generalisation as well as accuracy. The permutation feature importance analysis reveals that HPD has effectively enhanced physical interpretation of DNN, which supports the results stated in physical analysis. The application of HPD is further verified to enhance the spatial generalisation of prediction for not only DNN but also other black-box models, which is promising for insufficient data problems in geotechnical engineering.","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":"17 1","pages":"169 - 180"},"PeriodicalIF":6.5000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A hybrid physical data informed DNN in axial displacement prediction of immersed tunnel joint\",\"authors\":\"Wei Yan, Yu Yan, Ping Shen, Wanqi Zhou\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/17499518.2023.2169941\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT Due to complex interactions between immersed tunnel and surrounding environment, it is difficult to apply theoretical analysis for axial displacement (DIS) of immersion joints. To develop a generalised model for DIS prediction, Deep Neural Network (DNN) could be considered. However, the spatial generalisation of black-box DNN models is not always convincible for small data. In this study, we proposed a novel hybrid physical data (HPD) informed DNN model with improved spatial generalisation for prediction of DIS. The physical mechanism of DIS is firstly analysed by correlation between DIS and other monitoring data. The HPD is then created based on the physical analysis and contributes to the DNN as a substituting feature rather than an additional feature. Three DNN models fed with different groups of features are compared, while the proposed HPD-DNN has outperformed others in terms of both prediction generalisation as well as accuracy. The permutation feature importance analysis reveals that HPD has effectively enhanced physical interpretation of DNN, which supports the results stated in physical analysis. The application of HPD is further verified to enhance the spatial generalisation of prediction for not only DNN but also other black-box models, which is promising for insufficient data problems in geotechnical engineering.\",\"PeriodicalId\":48524,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards\",\"volume\":\"17 1\",\"pages\":\"169 - 180\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2169941\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2023.2169941","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
A hybrid physical data informed DNN in axial displacement prediction of immersed tunnel joint
ABSTRACT Due to complex interactions between immersed tunnel and surrounding environment, it is difficult to apply theoretical analysis for axial displacement (DIS) of immersion joints. To develop a generalised model for DIS prediction, Deep Neural Network (DNN) could be considered. However, the spatial generalisation of black-box DNN models is not always convincible for small data. In this study, we proposed a novel hybrid physical data (HPD) informed DNN model with improved spatial generalisation for prediction of DIS. The physical mechanism of DIS is firstly analysed by correlation between DIS and other monitoring data. The HPD is then created based on the physical analysis and contributes to the DNN as a substituting feature rather than an additional feature. Three DNN models fed with different groups of features are compared, while the proposed HPD-DNN has outperformed others in terms of both prediction generalisation as well as accuracy. The permutation feature importance analysis reveals that HPD has effectively enhanced physical interpretation of DNN, which supports the results stated in physical analysis. The application of HPD is further verified to enhance the spatial generalisation of prediction for not only DNN but also other black-box models, which is promising for insufficient data problems in geotechnical engineering.
期刊介绍:
Georisk covers many diversified but interlinked areas of active research and practice, such as geohazards (earthquakes, landslides, avalanches, rockfalls, tsunamis, etc.), safety of engineered systems (dams, buildings, offshore structures, lifelines, etc.), environmental risk, seismic risk, reliability-based design and code calibration, geostatistics, decision analyses, structural reliability, maintenance and life cycle performance, risk and vulnerability, hazard mapping, loss assessment (economic, social, environmental, etc.), GIS databases, remote sensing, and many other related disciplines. The underlying theme is that uncertainties associated with geomaterials (soils, rocks), geologic processes, and possible subsequent treatments, are usually large and complex and these uncertainties play an indispensable role in the risk assessment and management of engineered and natural systems. Significant theoretical and practical challenges remain on quantifying these uncertainties and developing defensible risk management methodologies that are acceptable to decision makers and stakeholders. Many opportunities to leverage on the rapid advancement in Bayesian analysis, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and other data-driven methods also exist, which can greatly enhance our decision-making abilities. The basic goal of this international peer-reviewed journal is to provide a multi-disciplinary scientific forum for cross fertilization of ideas between interested parties working on various aspects of georisk to advance the state-of-the-art and the state-of-the-practice.