{"title":"基于威布尔分布和指数分布的竞争风险模型的贝叶斯估计","authors":"H. Talhi, H. Aiachi, N. Rahmania","doi":"10.1515/mcma-2022-2112","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In this paper, we investigate the estimation of the unknown parameters of a competing risk model based on a Weibull distributed decreasing failure rate and an exponentially distributed constant failure rate, under right censored data. The Bayes estimators and the corresponding risks are derived using various loss functions. Since the posterior analysis involves analytically intractable integrals, we propose a Monte Carlo method to compute these estimators. Given initial values of the model parameters, the maximum likelihood estimators are computed using the expectation-maximization algorithm. Finally, we use Pitman’s closeness criterion and integrated mean-square error to compare the performance of the Bayesian and the maximum likelihood estimators.","PeriodicalId":46576,"journal":{"name":"Monte Carlo Methods and Applications","volume":"28 1","pages":"163 - 174"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bayesian estimation of a competing risk model based on Weibull and exponential distributions under right censored data\",\"authors\":\"H. Talhi, H. Aiachi, N. Rahmania\",\"doi\":\"10.1515/mcma-2022-2112\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract In this paper, we investigate the estimation of the unknown parameters of a competing risk model based on a Weibull distributed decreasing failure rate and an exponentially distributed constant failure rate, under right censored data. The Bayes estimators and the corresponding risks are derived using various loss functions. Since the posterior analysis involves analytically intractable integrals, we propose a Monte Carlo method to compute these estimators. Given initial values of the model parameters, the maximum likelihood estimators are computed using the expectation-maximization algorithm. Finally, we use Pitman’s closeness criterion and integrated mean-square error to compare the performance of the Bayesian and the maximum likelihood estimators.\",\"PeriodicalId\":46576,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Monte Carlo Methods and Applications\",\"volume\":\"28 1\",\"pages\":\"163 - 174\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-01-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Monte Carlo Methods and Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1515/mcma-2022-2112\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Monte Carlo Methods and Applications","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1515/mcma-2022-2112","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Bayesian estimation of a competing risk model based on Weibull and exponential distributions under right censored data
Abstract In this paper, we investigate the estimation of the unknown parameters of a competing risk model based on a Weibull distributed decreasing failure rate and an exponentially distributed constant failure rate, under right censored data. The Bayes estimators and the corresponding risks are derived using various loss functions. Since the posterior analysis involves analytically intractable integrals, we propose a Monte Carlo method to compute these estimators. Given initial values of the model parameters, the maximum likelihood estimators are computed using the expectation-maximization algorithm. Finally, we use Pitman’s closeness criterion and integrated mean-square error to compare the performance of the Bayesian and the maximum likelihood estimators.