{"title":"酒店预订取消的预测模型:文献的半自动化分析","authors":"N. António, Ana de Almeida, Luís Nunes","doi":"10.18089/TMS.2019.15011","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In reservation-based industries, accurate booking cancellation forecast is of foremost importance to estimate demand. By combining data science tools and capabilities with human judgement and interpretation it is possible to demonstrate how the semiautomatic analysis of the literature can contribute to synthetize research findings and identify research topics on the subject of booking cancellation forecasting. The data used was obtained through keyword search in Scopus and Web of Science databases. The methodology presented not only diminishes human bias, but also enhances the fact that data visualization and text mining techniques facilitate abstraction, expedite analysis and contribute to the improvement of reviews. Results show that albeit the importance of bookings’ cancellation forecast, further research on the subject is still needed. By detailing the full experimental procedure of the analysis, this work aims to encourage other authors to conduct automated literature analysis as a means to understand current research in their working fields.","PeriodicalId":43763,"journal":{"name":"Tourism & Management Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6000,"publicationDate":"2019-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"8","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Predictive models for hotel booking cancellation: a semi-automated analysis of the literature\",\"authors\":\"N. António, Ana de Almeida, Luís Nunes\",\"doi\":\"10.18089/TMS.2019.15011\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In reservation-based industries, accurate booking cancellation forecast is of foremost importance to estimate demand. By combining data science tools and capabilities with human judgement and interpretation it is possible to demonstrate how the semiautomatic analysis of the literature can contribute to synthetize research findings and identify research topics on the subject of booking cancellation forecasting. The data used was obtained through keyword search in Scopus and Web of Science databases. The methodology presented not only diminishes human bias, but also enhances the fact that data visualization and text mining techniques facilitate abstraction, expedite analysis and contribute to the improvement of reviews. Results show that albeit the importance of bookings’ cancellation forecast, further research on the subject is still needed. By detailing the full experimental procedure of the analysis, this work aims to encourage other authors to conduct automated literature analysis as a means to understand current research in their working fields.\",\"PeriodicalId\":43763,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tourism & Management Studies\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-01-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"8\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tourism & Management Studies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.18089/TMS.2019.15011\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tourism & Management Studies","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18089/TMS.2019.15011","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
摘要
在基于预订的行业中,准确的预订取消预测对估计需求至关重要。通过将数据科学工具和能力与人类的判断和解释相结合,有可能展示文献的半自动分析如何有助于综合研究结果并确定预订取消预测主题的研究主题。使用的数据通过Scopus和Web of Science数据库的关键词搜索获得。所提出的方法不仅减少了人为偏见,而且增强了数据可视化和文本挖掘技术促进抽象,加快分析并有助于改进评论的事实。结果表明,尽管预订取消预测很重要,但仍需进一步研究。通过详细介绍分析的完整实验过程,这项工作旨在鼓励其他作者进行自动化文献分析,作为了解其工作领域当前研究的一种手段。
Predictive models for hotel booking cancellation: a semi-automated analysis of the literature
In reservation-based industries, accurate booking cancellation forecast is of foremost importance to estimate demand. By combining data science tools and capabilities with human judgement and interpretation it is possible to demonstrate how the semiautomatic analysis of the literature can contribute to synthetize research findings and identify research topics on the subject of booking cancellation forecasting. The data used was obtained through keyword search in Scopus and Web of Science databases. The methodology presented not only diminishes human bias, but also enhances the fact that data visualization and text mining techniques facilitate abstraction, expedite analysis and contribute to the improvement of reviews. Results show that albeit the importance of bookings’ cancellation forecast, further research on the subject is still needed. By detailing the full experimental procedure of the analysis, this work aims to encourage other authors to conduct automated literature analysis as a means to understand current research in their working fields.