多边开发银行气候风险评估综述

IF 2.4 Q2 WATER RESOURCES
J. Alexandra
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引用次数: 5

摘要

气候变化给水资源规划带来了更大的复杂性,需要适应未来不确定性增加的技术。在澳大利亚的墨累达令盆地,政府于2002年正式承认了气候风险,并于2007年立法制定了基于科学的气候风险评估。从那时起,研究已经帮助阐明了气候变化对集水区、河流生态系统和水资源影响的重要性。本文回顾了过去二十年进行的气候风险评估,概述了研究需求和政策选择,同时指出,鉴于气候风险的系统性,没有简单的解决方案。水资源规划和气候风险评估需要处理非平稳性和后自然人类世条件。这些方法应结合生物物理和社会经济模型,增加利益攸关方参与制定和测试政策选择,并编纂透明度标准和程序。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate risk assessment in the MDB – a review
ABSTRACT Climate change introduces greater complexity to water resources planning, requiring techniques suited to increased future uncertainties. In Australia’s Murray Darling Basin, governments formally recognised climate risk in 2002 and legislated science-based climate risk assessment in 2007. Since then, research has helped clarify the significance of climate change impacts on catchments, riverine ecosystems and water resources. This paper offers a review of climate risk assessments undertaken over the past two decades and outlines research needs and policy options while noting there are no simple solutions given the systemic nature of climate risks. Water resource planning and climate risk assessment need to handle non-stationarity and post-natural Anthropocene conditions. These methods should integrate biophysical and socio-economic modelling, increase stakeholder participation in developing and testing policy options and codify standards and procedures for transparency.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
21.90%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: The Australasian Journal of Water Resources ( AJWR) is a multi-disciplinary regional journal dedicated to scholarship, professional practice and discussion on water resources planning, management and policy. Its primary geographic focus is on Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific Islands. Papers from outside this region will also be welcomed if they contribute to an understanding of water resources issues in the region. Such contributions could be due to innovations applicable to the Australasian water community, or where clear linkages between studies in other parts of the world are linked to important issues or water planning, management, development and policy challenges in Australasia. These could include papers on global issues where Australasian impacts are clearly identified.
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