布基纳法索的气候、天气和儿童健康

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS
Shouro Dasgupta, Elizabeth J. Z. Robinson
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引用次数: 1

摘要

现在很明显,人为气候变化正在对人类健康产生负面影响。在本文中,我们首次全面评估了气候压力源对布基纳法索儿童健康的影响。我们使用人口与健康调查,结合高分辨率气象数据,控制家庭和个人协变量,对气候和天气冲击对死亡率、发育迟缓(身高Z分)和消瘦(体重Z分)的影响进行了严格的实证分析。我们发现强有力的证据表明,终身和短期暴露在高温和干旱中都会对儿童健康产生负面影响,作物季节温度异常增加也是如此,这表明气候与国内粮食生产的健康之间存在联系。收入和家庭财富、获得电力、卫生设施和生育保健设施抵消了气候变化的一些不利影响。将我们的计量经济学估计与最新的CMIP6情景相结合,我们计算了未来儿童健康的政策相关预测。我们的研究结果表明,在除《巴黎协定》情景外的所有情景中,未来气候变暖预计将显著增加儿童死亡率,以及体重不足和发育迟缓儿童的比例。鉴于健康这一人力资本的关键要素与经济增长之间的联系,我们的研究结果和预测提供了更多证据,证明如果低收入国家要实现减贫和日益繁荣,快速减少全球排放与适应资金相结合的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Climate, weather and child health in Burkina Faso

Climate, weather and child health in Burkina Faso

It is now clear that anthropogenic climate change is having a negative impact on human health. In this paper, we provide the first comprehensive assessment of the impact of climatic stressors on child health in Burkina Faso. We undertake a rigorous empirical analysis of the impact of climate and weather shocks on mortality, stunting (height-for-age Z-score) and wasting (weight-for-age Z-score), using Demographic and Health Surveys, combined with high-resolution meteorological data, controlling for household and individual covariates. We find robust evidence that both lifetime and short-term exposure to high temperatures and droughts have a negative impact on child health, as do increased temperature anomalies during crop seasons, suggesting a link between climate and health through domestic food production. Income and household wealth, access to electricity, sanitation and a health facility for childbirth negate some adverse impacts of climate change. Combining our econometric estimates with updated CMIP6 scenarios, we compute policy-relevant projections of future child health. Our results show that future warming is projected to significantly increase child mortality, and share of underweight and stunted children, in all but the Paris Agreement scenario. Given the links between health, a key element of human capital, and economic growth, our findings and projections provide yet more evidence of the importance of a rapid reduction in global emissions combined with adaptation funding, if lower-income countries are to achieve poverty reduction and increasing prosperity.

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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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