创新、股票市场与经济增长的关系分析——以中国为例

IF 0.2 Q4 MANAGEMENT
Gelson Eduardo Dalle Nogare, Jéferson Réus da Silva Schulz, F. Silveira, J. Ruppenthal
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究的目的是在假设股价下跌可能反映出技术进步和长期经济增长的坏消息的情况下,通过影响中国宏观经济发展率的变量,分析基于技术发展的股票市场与宏观经济发展之间的行为和关系。作为创新问题的参考,本研究考虑了基于中国立场说明的全球创新指数;对于经济增长问题,参考的是中国的实际GDP;对于资本市场问题,它被认为是中国证券交易所指数(SSE Composite)。为了分析和关联这些变量,使用了皮尔逊相关系数“r”的计算。研究结果表明,资本市场的表现不能作为中国案例的经济指标,也不能证明其表现与实体经济和技术创新的表现有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the relationship between innovation, stock market and economic growth in the case of China
The objective of this is study is to analyze the behavior and the relationship between the stock market and the macroeconomic developments, based on technology development, through the variables that influence these rates to China, under the hypothesis that a decrease in stock prices may reflect in bad news regarding to technological progress and long-term economic growth. As reference to the innovation question, the study considers The Global Innovation Index (GII) based in China's position note; for the economic growth question, the reference is the Chinese real GDP; and for the capital market question, it is considered the Chinese stock exchange index (SSE Composite). For the analysis and correlation of these variables it was used the calculation of the Pearson's correlation coefficient “r”. The results suggest that the performance of the capital market cannot be an economic indicator for China's case, not presenting evidence that its performance is related to those of the real economy and the technological innovation.
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