2014年以来美国在印度印太地区的战略

J. Zajączkowski
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文分析了印度在印太地区战略的主要假设以及美国在该战略中的作用。文章的时间框架是由总理纳伦德拉·莫迪(Narendra Modi)领导的印度人民党(Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP)于2014年在印度掌权,以及美国领导的印度-太平洋再平衡战略进入新阶段决定的,这是继中国于2013年发起“一带一路”倡议(以前称为一带一路项目)之后。本文试图回答以下主要研究问题:自2014年以来,印度在其印太战略中认为美国发挥了什么作用?它假设美国在过去七年中在印度的地区战略中扮演了越来越重要的角色,但还没有达到正式联盟的程度,充其量只是接近战略伙伴关系的地位。分析美国在印度地区战略中的作用的理论框架是基于制度平衡和新古典现实主义的假设。这些研究工具的选择是由它们的解释价值决定的。此外,两种模式是相辅相成的。文章的第一部分提出了分析的一般假设和理论框架。第二部分讨论了2014年至2021年印度对美态度的演变,指出其变化的原因,并重建美国在印度区域战略中的角色,特别是在2020年之后。第三部分借鉴本文采用的理论框架,即制度平衡假设和新古典现实主义假设,给出回答主要研究问题的结论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The United States in India's Strategy in the Indo-Pacific Region Since 2014
This article analyzes the main assumptions of India’s strategy in the Indo-Pacific region and the role of the US in that strategy. The time frame of the article has been determined by the assumption of power in India in 2014 by the Indian People’s Party (Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP), led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, as well as the opening of a new stage of the US-led Indo-Pacific rebalancing strategy, which followed China’s initiation in 2013 of its Belt and Road Initiative (previously known as the One Belt One Road project). The article seeks to answer the following main research question: What role has India attributed to the United States in its Indo-Pacific strategy since 2014? It hypothesizes that the United States has assumed an increasingly significant role in India’s regional strategy over the past seven years, but not to the extent of a formal alliance, only approaching at best the status of a strategic partnership. The theoretical framework used to analyze the case study of the US role in India’s regional strategy is based on institutional balancing and the assumptions of neoclassical realism. The choice of such research tools was determined by their explanatory value. Moreover, both models complement each other. The first part of the article presents the general assumption of the analysis and the theoretical framework. The second discusses the evolution of India’s approach to the US from 2014 to 2021, indicating the reasons for its change and reconstructing the role of the US in Indian regional strategy, especially after 2020. The third part draws on the theoretical framework adopted in the article, i.e., the assumptions of institutional balancing and neoclassical realism, to offer conclusions that answer the main research questions.
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