人口与可持续性:人口增长与环境变化关系综述

D. Samways
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在高度抽象的层面上,把人口增长和环境退化因果联系起来,直觉上很吸引人。然而,虽然人口规模显然是社会制度规模和力量的一个关键因素,因而也是环境影响的一个关键因素,但人口数量与环境变化之间的关系是复杂的。特别是,人口增长和下降所涉及的长时间尺度,以及经济发展在人口增长本身和环境影响方面的作用的转变,使人口规模作为影响乘数的作用模糊不清。此外,人口变化的长期性使人口规模看起来像是一个棘手的问题,是自然过程的结果,不仅无法选择,而且至关重要的是,在道德上是危险的。在这篇关于人口规模在环境影响中的作用的综述中,我认为选择、规范和价值观,以及物质因素,在我们物种的环境影响中是相互交织和不可分割的。此外,对人类福利和福祉的考虑是关于环境可持续人口的争论的核心。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Population and Sustainability: Reviewing the Relationship Between Population Growth and Environmental Change
At a high level of abstraction, causally connecting population growth and environmental degradation is intuitively appealing. However, while it is clear that population size is a critical factor in the size and power of social systems, and hence in environmental impact, the relationship between human numbers and environmental change is complex. In particular, the long timescales involved in population growth and decline, along with the shifting role of economic development in both population growth itself and environmental impact, obfuscate the role of population size as a multiplier of impact. Moreover, the protracted nature of demographic change makes population size seem like an intractable problem, the outcome of natural processes which are not only beyond choice, but, critically, morally perilous. In this review of the role of population size in environmental impact, I argue that choices, norms, and values, as well as material factors, are interwoven and inseparable in the environmental impact of our species. Furthermore, the consideration of human welfare and wellbeing is central to arguments regarding an environmentally sustainable population.
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