中国经济增长减速:原因与对策

IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Guoqiang Tian
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引用次数: 9

摘要

2011年以来,中国经济增速持续快速下滑。从1979年至2010年近10%的平均增长率降至2016年的6.7%,降幅超过3%。对于其成因,国内经济学家有不同的解读。包括林毅夫在内的一些学者所持的一种解释是,外部因素和周期性因素是导致衰落的主要原因。笔者不同意这一观点,认为经济减速的根本原因是深层制度改革的滞后。包容性经济和国家强制能力是维持经济繁荣的两个基本要素。中国必须进一步增强经济包容性,通过深化全面市场化改革,加快向效率驱动型和创新驱动型经济转型。同时,要进一步加强法治建设,建设一个有能力、有责任、有效率、有爱心的有限政府。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deceleration of China’s Economic Growth: Causes and Countermeasures
China's economic growth has been declining continuously at a rapid rate since 2011. It dropped to 6.7% in 2016 by more than 3% from nearly 10% average growth rate during 1979¨C2010. As for its causes, there are different interpretations among Chinese economists. One of the interpretations, which is held by some scholars including Justin Yifu Lin, is that external and cyclical factors are the main causes for the decline. The author disagrees with this viewpoint and holds that the root cause of economic deceleration is the delay in deep institutional reforms. An inclusive economy and state coercive capacity are two essential ingredients for sustaining economic prosperity. China must further enhance economic inclusiveness, and accelerate its transition into an efficiency-driven and innovation-driven economy through deepened comprehensive marketization reforms. Meanwhile, it should further strengthen the rule of law to build a limited government that is capable, accountable, effective and caring.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
373
期刊介绍: Frontiers of Economics in China seeks to provide a forum for a broad blend of peer-reviewed academic papers of economics in order to promote communication and exchanges between economists in China and abroad. It will reflect the enormous advances that are currently being made in China in the field of economy and society. In addition, this journal also bears the mission of introducing the academic achievements on Chinese economics research to the world.
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