基于代理的模拟分析卡车运输行业监管政策

IF 3.3 3区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION
Sarvin Molaeinasab , Aria Dahimi , Amir Samimi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文引入了一个基于代理的微观模拟模型,以获取公路货运系统对不同监管改革的反应,如卡车的生产率、公路货运公司的能力以及参与者的经济状况。托运人、货运公司和司机是关键的决策者。这些行为主体有不同的选择,包括运输承运人的选择、运输价格、装运的卡车分配和空载回程。在校准阶段使用了性能指标,平均误差小于 3.7%。最后,对三项可行的监管改革进行了评估,并对其绩效指标进行了估算和讨论。我们发现,如果用竞争性市场结构取代强制性货运分配程序,运输成本将降低 6%。此外,我们还观察到,如果放宽对实体货运公司分支机构的要求,排名前五十的运输公司的市场份额将增加 20%,整体生产率将提高 3%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An agent-based simulation to analyze trucking sector regulation policies

This paper introduces an agent-based micro-simulation model to acquire the responses of road freight transportation systems like the productivity of trucks, the capability of road freight transportation companies, and the economic state of actors to different regulatory reforms. The shippers, freight companies, and drivers are the key decision-makers . These agents have different choices, including transport carrier choice, shipping price, truck allocation to shipment, and empty backhauls. Performance measures were used for the calibration phase with less than 3.7% average error. Finally, three viable regulatory reforms were evaluated, and their performance measures were estimated and discussed. We found that the shipping cost will reduce by 6% if a competitive market structure replaces the mandatory freight assignment procedure. Furthermore, we observed a 20% increase in the market share of the top fifty transport companies and a 3% improvement in the overall productivity when the physical freight companies’ branch requirements are relaxed.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
14.30%
发文量
79
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Transportation Letters: The International Journal of Transportation Research is a quarterly journal that publishes high-quality peer-reviewed and mini-review papers as well as technical notes and book reviews on the state-of-the-art in transportation research. The focus of Transportation Letters is on analytical and empirical findings, methodological papers, and theoretical and conceptual insights across all areas of research. Review resource papers that merge descriptions of the state-of-the-art with innovative and new methodological, theoretical, and conceptual insights spanning all areas of transportation research are invited and of particular interest.
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