超越新自由主义的扩散:阿根廷货币发行局起源的内在推理和政策创新

IF 0.1 4区 历史学 Q3 HISTORY
M. Heredia, Pablo Nemiña
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自20世纪40年代以来,阿根廷一直处于高通货膨胀状态,并在20世纪80年代末经历了两次恶性通货膨胀,2019年阿根廷面临着超过50%的价格上涨。但在上世纪90年代,阿根廷实现了物价稳定和经济增长。这些变化的根源是什么?从这次经历中我们可以得到哪些教训?正如上世纪90年代阿根廷实施深度市场改革一样,稳定可以被视为新自由主义扩散的成就。推动这一变化的不仅是国际力量;国际货币基金组织(IMF)庆祝了这一成功,并邀请其他新兴国家效仿。然而,这种观点低估了当地背景在新自由主义改革历史中的重要性,高估了外部力量的一致性。通过对阿根廷和外国官员证词的分析以及对国际货币基金组织解密文件的研究,本文认为稳定是在货币局采用后才被存档的,这与大多数外国官员的建议是相反的。阿根廷的案例揭示了技术官僚机构的重要性,而不是简单的自上而下的思想转换。他们在当地的创新不仅使新自由主义的传播成为可能,而且还把货币发行局变成了向其他国家推荐的全球反通货膨胀的配方之一,无视其严重后果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Beyond the diffusion of neoliberalism: Embedded reasoning and policy innovation in the origins of Argentinian currency board
Suffering from high rates of inflation since the 1940’s and having experienced two hyperinflations at the end of the 1980s, Argentina faced in 2019 an increase of prices of more than 50%. But in the 1990s, Argentina achieved at once prices stability and growth. Which were the sources of such an immediate change? Which lessons can be drawn from this experience? As in the 1990s Argentina adopted deep market reforms, stability could be considered an achievement of neoliberal diffusion. Not only international forces were driving forces for the change; the International Monetary Found (IMF) celebrated the success and invited other emerging nations to imitate it. Nevertheless, this perspective underestimates the importance of local context in the history of neoliberal reforms and overestimates the coherence of external forces. Through the analyses of testimonies of Argentine and foreign officials and the study of declassified documents from the IMF, this paper argues that stability was only archived after the adoption of a currency board, which was against the recommendation of most foreign officials. Instead of a simple top-down transposition of ideas, the Argentinian case reveals the importance of technocrats’ agency. Their local innovation not only made the diffusion of neoliberalism possible, it also turned currency board into one of the global anti-inflationist recipes recommended to other countries, despise its heavy consequences.
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