埃塞俄比亚西北部小农对气候变化风险的认知与适应策略

IF 3.5 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Aimro Likinaw, W. Bewket, Aragaw Alemayehu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

目的本文的目的是检验埃塞俄比亚南贡达尔的小农户对气候变化风险的感知、适应反应以及适应策略与感知/经历的气候变化风险之间的联系,这使我们能够同时收集定量和定性数据。调查数据收集自352户家庭,分为Lay Gayint 138户(39%)、Tach Gayint 117户(33%)和Simada区97户(28%)。使用四点Likert量表为14个气候事件生成标准化的风险感知指数。此外,使用单向方差分析,测量了三个地区在选择适应策略方面的统计差异。还进行了事后分析,以确定变异的来源。本文的研究结果得到了通过焦点小组讨论和随机选择的家庭的关键线人访谈收集的定性数据的补充。研究结果标准化的气候变化风险感知指数表明,持续干旱、降雨延迟、降雨提前结束和粮食不安全是研究地区家庭感知到的主要潜在危险气候变化风险。为了应对气候变化风险,家庭采用了几种适应策略,如调整作物种植日期、作物多样化、梯田、植树、培育耐旱作物品种和场外活动。Tukey的事后测试揭示了农场外活动的显著差异,在Lay Gayint和Simada地区之间的研究区域,作物多样化和种植耐旱作物类型是适应策略中的一个(p<0.05)。这种差异再次证实了适应策略是特定于地点的。原始性/价值尽管有许多关于应对和适应气候变化策略的研究,本文是该研究领域为数不多的关注气候变化风险认知与家庭适应反应之间联系的研究之一。本文的研究结果可能有助于政策制定者和发展从业者设计针对当地的实际适应方案,以适应最近和未来的气候变化风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Smallholder farmers’ perceptions and adaptation strategies to climate change risks in northwest Ethiopia
Purpose The purpose of this paper was to examine smallholder farmers’ perceptions of climate change risks, adaptation responses and the links between adaptation strategies and perceived/experienced climate change risks in South Gondar, Ethiopia. Design/methodology/approach This paper used a convergent mixed methods design, which enables us to concurrently collect quantitative and qualitative data. Survey data was collected from 352 households, stratified into Lay Gayint 138 (39%), Tach Gayint 117 (33%) and Simada district 97 (28%). A four-point Likert scale was used to produce a standardised risk perception index for 14 climate events. Moreover, using a one-way analysis of variance, statistical differences in selecting adaptation strategies between the three districts were measured. A post hoc analysis was also carried out to identify the source of the variation. The findings of this paper are supplemented by qualitative data gathered through focus group discussions and key informant interviews of households who were chosen at random. Findings The standardised climate change risk perception index suggests that persistent drought, delayed onset of rainfall, early termination of rainfall and food insecurity were the major potentially dangerous climate change risks perceived by households in the study area. In response to climate change risks, households used several adaptation strategies such as adjusting crop planting dates, crop diversification, terracing, tree planting, cultivating drought-tolerant crop varieties and off-farm activities. A Tukey’s post hoc test revealed a significant difference in off-farm activities, crop diversification and planting drought-tolerant crop types among the adaptation strategies in the study area between Lay Gayint and Simada districts (p < 0.05). This difference reconfirms that adaptation strategies are location-specific. Originality/value Although many studies are available on coping and adaptation strategies to climate change, this paper is one of the few studies focusing on the linkages between climate change risk perceptions and adaptation responses of households in the study area. The findings of this paper could be helpful for policymakers and development practitioners in designing locally specific, actual adaptation options that shape adaptation to recent and future climate change risks.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
43
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: Effective from volume 10 (2018), International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an open access journal. In the history of science there have been only a few issues which have mobilized the attention of scientists and policy-makers alike as the issue of climate change currently does. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management is an international forum that addresses the need for disseminating scholarly research, projects and other initiatives aimed to facilitate a better understanding of the subject matter of climate change. The journal publishes papers dealing with policy-making on climate change, and methodological approaches to cope with the problems deriving from climate change. It disseminates experiences from projects and case studies where due consideration to environmental, economic, social and political aspects is given and especially the links and leverages that can be attained by this holistic approach. It regards climate change under the perspective of its wider implications: for economic growth, water and food security, and for people''s survival – especially those living in the poorest communities in developing countries.
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