西班牙马拉加省水库降雨开采模型

IF 3.5 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Julián Molina, J. A. Sillero-Medina, J. D. Ruiz-Sinoga
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在水资源稀缺的地区,分析流域不同元素与流域水库收集的水之间的联系,以确定和预测其上的水的空间和时间变化是非常重要的,我们利用水文建模的基本原理,开发了西班牙马拉加省水库流域降雨开发模型。使用了由自动水文信息系统(SAIH)的Hidrosur网络提供的马拉加省七座水库的月水量数据,以及与每座水库流域相关的国家气象局(AEMET)台站的降水量和日温度。我们假设,给定月份水库的入口必须取决于流域内产生的降水量(降雨量和降雨强度)、前几个月收集的降水量和产生的方式以及这段时间内产生的蒸散量。对于每个水库,我们提出了一个具有九个参数的模型来模拟降雨到达水库的情况,涵盖了从过去和现在的降雨量和强度到给定地区给定日期的蒸散水平等各个方面。这九个参数通过人工智能算法进行优化调整,以最大限度地提高真实贡献和模拟贡献之间的相关性。结果显示,该模型在对每个水库进行调整后,将使我们能够预测IPCC模型预测的降雨量和温度模式的变化将如何影响所研究水库的未来水位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling the Rainfall Exploitation of the Reservoirs in Malaga Province, Spain
In areas with scarce water resources, it is so important to analyze the connection between the different elements of a river basin and the water collected by the basin’s reservoir, to determine and predict the spatial and temporal variability of water on it. In this paper, we use the basic principles of hydrological modelling to develop a model for the exploitation of rainfall in reservoir basins in the province of Malaga, Spain. The monthly water input data of the seven reservoirs in the province of Malaga, provided by the Hidrosur Network of the Automatic Hydrological Information System (SAIH), as well as the precipitation and daily temperature of the stations of the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) associated with the basins of each of these reservoirs were used. We assume that the entrance to a reservoir in a given month must depend on the precipitation produced in its watershed (both the amount of rain and the intensity with which it fell), the precipitation collected from the previous months (and the way in which it was produced) and the evapotranspiration produced during that period. For each reservoir, we propose a model with nine parameters to simulate the arrival of rainfall to the reservoir, covering aspects from the amount and intensity of rain, past and present, to the level of evapotranspiration on a given area for a given date. These nine parameters are optimally adjusted through an artificial intelligence algorithm to maximize the correlation between real and simulated contributions. The results show how this model, adjusted for each reservoir, will let us predict how changes in the rainfall and temperature patterns, predicted, for example, by the IPCC models, will affect the future water levels at the studied reservoirs.
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来源期刊
Air Soil and Water Research
Air Soil and Water Research ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
5.30%
发文量
27
审稿时长
8 weeks
期刊介绍: Air, Soil & Water Research is an open access, peer reviewed international journal covering all areas of research into soil, air and water. The journal looks at each aspect individually, as well as how they interact, with each other and different components of the environment. This includes properties (including physical, chemical, biochemical and biological), analysis, microbiology, chemicals and pollution, consequences for plants and crops, soil hydrology, changes and consequences of change, social issues, and more. The journal welcomes readerships from all fields, but hopes to be particularly profitable to analytical and water chemists and geologists as well as chemical, environmental, petrochemical, water treatment, geophysics and geological engineers. The journal has a multi-disciplinary approach and includes research, results, theory, models, analysis, applications and reviews. Work in lab or field is applicable. Of particular interest are manuscripts relating to environmental concerns. Other possible topics include, but are not limited to: Properties and analysis covering all areas of research into soil, air and water individually as well as how they interact with each other and different components of the environment Soil hydrology and microbiology Changes and consequences of environmental change, chemicals and pollution.
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