确定俄罗斯联邦人口出生时预期寿命的优先社会卫生决定因素

Q4 Medicine
N. Zaitseva, S. Kleyn, M. Glukhikh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

介绍这项研究的重点是将出生时预期寿命的社会卫生决定因素作为联邦层面的一项综合健康指标。研究目的。确定俄罗斯联邦人口出生时预期寿命(LEB)的适当社会卫生决定因素。材料和方法。我们的初步数据取自Rosstat和Rospotrebnadzor于2010-2018年在所有85个RF地区发布的统计报告——分析了148个栖息地和生活方式因素指标。指标的结构是一个数据矩阵。利用因子分析和基于四层感知器的人工神经网络计算了它们对LEB的影响。后果我们确定了对现有出生预期寿命水平影响最大的优先社会卫生决定因素。其中75%是生活方式指标和社会人口指标;12.5%的人描述了人口的卫生流行病学福利。以下指标增加1%对LEB增长产生了最显著的影响:“每名就业人员每周工作时间”,7.32天;“有体育活动或运动的人口比例”,4.52天;“集中供水住房设备”,3.71天。局限性这项研究有一定的局限性,包括根据俄罗斯联邦的地区,在2010-2018年期间修改LEB-148指标的一组有限的分析因素;确定初始统计指标的区域,以及这些指标变化的有限场景,所使用的人工神经网络的特性。结论鉴于多种环境和生活方式因素对LEB的影响,旨在改善现有医疗和人口状况的规划活动需要制定适当的方法来确定优先的社会卫生决定因素,这些因素根据其影响的类型和强度而变化和异质。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determining priority socio-hygienic determinants of life expectancy at birth for the Russian Federation population
Introduction. The study focuses on examining socio-hygienic determinants of life expectancy at birth as an integral health indicator at the federal level. Purpose of study. To determine propriety socio-hygienic determinants of life expectancy at birth (LEB) for the population of the Russian Federation. Materials and methods. Our initial data were taken from the statistical reports issued by Rosstat and Rospotrebnadzor in 2010-2018 in all 85 RF regions - 148 indicators of habitat and lifestyle factors were analyzed. The indicators were structured as a data matrix. Effects produced by them on LEB were calculated by using factor analysis and an artificial neural network based on a four-layer perceptron. Results. We determined fory priority socio-hygienic determinants with the greatest influence on the existing level of life expectancy at birth. Seventy-seven point five percent of them were lifestyle indicators and socio-demographic ones; 12.5% described sanitary-epidemiological welfare of the population. The most significant effects on a LEB growth were produced by 1% increase in the following indicators: “Working hours per one employed person per week”, 7.32 days; “A share of population who have physical activity or do sports”, 4.52 days; “Equipment of housing with centralized water supply”, 3.71 days. Limitations. This study has certain limitations including a limited set of the analyzed factors that modify LEB - 148 indicators over 2010-2018 as per region of the Russian Federation; an area within which initial statistical indicators were determined and limited scenarios of changes in them, properties of the employed artificial neural network. Conclusion. Planning activities aimed at improving the existing medical and demographic situation requires developing adequate approaches to determining priority socio-hygienic determinants given the effects produced on LEB by multiple environmental and lifestyle factors that are variable and heterogeneous as per their types and intensity of their influence.
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CiteScore
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