俄罗斯侵略对重塑未来世界的影响乌克兰的未来情景,发展和选择

I. Chifu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在乌克兰宣布反攻以收回其领土并在与俄罗斯的任何谈判中创造明显的战略优势的前夕,未来的情景(Chifu 2022)现在正在堆积。虽然短期和中期发展的标准和指标更容易确定,就像乌克兰获得所有被占领领土的理想目标(沃兰德2023)一样,但可能会出现许多拐点,就像一些改变游戏规则的因素正在逼近一样,这些因素将彻底改变现实和已知趋势的进程。考虑到这些因素,我们起草了一份最新的大纲,概述了乌克兰未来可能的发展、情况和选择,以应对俄罗斯发动全面侵略战争的情况。重要的是要指出,这些事态发展不仅影响到乌克兰,而且对战后的全球格局也有影响
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of Russia’s aggresion on reshaping tomorrow’s world Ukraine’s future scenarios, developments, and options
Prospective scenarios (Chifu 2022) are now piling up, on the eve of Ukraine’s announced counter-offensive to reclaim its territories and create clear strategic advantages in the perspective of any negotiations with Russia (Menon 2023). While the criteria and indicators of short and medium-term development are easier to determine, as is the aspirational goal of Ukraine to gain all its occupied territories (Wallander 2023), there are numerous inflection points that may emerge, just as a number of game-changers are looming, elements that would radically change the reality and the course of the known trend. Taking these factors into consideration, we have drafted an updated outline of Ukraine’s potential future developments, scenarios, and options in the event of a Russian full-scale war of aggression. It is important to note that these developments not only impact Ukraine but also have implications for the post-war global landscape
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