技术性贸易壁垒措施会影响越南茶叶出口吗？重力模型的证据

International Journal on Food System Dynamics Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI:10.18461/IJFSD.V12I2.82

N. Thuong, Doan Thi Hong Thinh, N. T. Long, D. Linh

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了2001年至2019年技术性贸易壁垒如何影响越南对55个进口国的茶叶出口。我们使用不同估计方法的重力模型：普通最小二乘法（OLS）、固定效应法（FE）和随机效应法（RE）来估计TBT对越南茶叶出口的影响。结果表明，尽管GDP、人口、距离、关税和加入世界贸易组织是关键因素，但这些进口国实施的TBT措施对越南茶叶出口产生了显著的负面影响。我们的研究结果显示，虽然发展中国家实施的累积TBT措施增加1%，越南的茶叶出口减少了0.341%，但发达国家的这一数字为1.308%。

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Do Technical Barriers to Trade Measures Affect Vietnam’s Tea Exports? Evidence from the Gravity Model

This paper explores how technical barriers to trade (TBT) affect Vietnam’s tea exports to 55 importing countries from 2001 to 2019. We use the gravity model with different estimation methods: ordinary least square (OLS), fixed-effect (FE), and random effect (RE) to estimate the impact of TBT on Vietnam’s tea exports. The results show that although GDP, population, distance, tariff, and participation in World Trade Organization (WTO) are crucial factors, the TBT measures imposed by these importing countries have significantly negative impacts on Vietnam’s tea exports. Our findings reveal that while a 1% increase in the cumulative TBT measures imposed by developing countries decreases Vietnam's tea export by 0.341%, the figure for developed countries is 1.308%.

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来源期刊

International Journal on Food System Dynamics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

1.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Understanding the development of the food system requires a system view that captures the complexity of the system and its many interrelationships with its economic, social and natural environments. The Journal accepts and offers papers within this broad range of issues focussing on the management, policy, marketing, consumer aspects, transparency, e-commerce, institutional or regional development, information and communication systems, ressource economics, production economics, chain management, network economics, and similar aspects. Papers may focus on modeling, empirical research or theoretical analyis. This broad range of publication opportunities asks authors to follow clear lines of arguments and to present arguments in a convincing way that avoids unnecessary complexities of model formulations if not relevant for the support of arguments. The publication of scientific articles is complemented by a number of sections that provide room for publications with a more specific focus: ''Case studies'': A section on case studies of the ''Harvard Type'' allows the publication of studies that might build on established scientific methodology but demonstrate its use in ceratin decision environments. Case studies might be complemented by ''teaching cases'' that are kept on a database outside the journal but accessible to readers on approval by authors. ''Research Forum'': It allows to discuss newly emerging research challenges or to contribute to ongoing scientific discussions on research problems. In addition, authors might initiate a discussion on issues brought up by articles published in the journal. ''Research Notes'': It provides room for specific shorter scientific contributions with a narrow scope.