模糊参数估计的组合算法及其在不确定测量中的应用

M. Danesh, S. Danesh
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引用次数: 2

摘要

提出了一种不确定环境下回归模型预测的新方法。在实际工程问题中,为了建立回归模型或人工神经网络模型进行预测,将重复观测值集的平均值作为输入变量引入模型。因此,该过程的估计响应也是一组输出值的平均值,其中平均值周围的变化是不确定的。然而,为了提供无偏和精确的估计,预测要求平均正确,并指定日期的范围。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一种基于模糊推理系统、遗传和线性规划算法的方法。我们考虑了清晰输入和对称三角模糊输出。将该算法应用于模糊回归模型的拟合。此外,通过仿真算例和机械加工领域的实际算例,对该方法在处理输出变量具有不确定性和印象性的实际问题时的性能进行了评价。最后,我们将该方法与其他方法的性能进行了比较。通过实例验证了该方法的预测效果。结果表明,该方法将误差值减小到最小,并且比线性规划方法和模糊权重法具有更高的精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Combinatorial Algorithm for Fuzzy Parameter Estimation with Application to Uncertain Measurements
This paper presents a new method for regression model prediction in an uncertain environment. In practical engineering problems, in order to develop regression or ANN model for making predictions, the average of set of repeated observed values are introduced to the model as an input variable. Therefore, the estimated response of the process is also the average of a set of output values where the variation around the mean is not determinate. However, to provide unbiased and precise estimations, the predictions are required to be correct on average and the spread of date be specified. To address this issue, we proposed a method based on the fuzzy inference system, and genetic and linear programming algorithms. We consider the crisp inputs and the symmetrical triangular fuzzy output. The proposed algorithm is applied to fit the fuzzy regression model. In addition, we apply a simulation example and a practical example in the field of machining process to assess the performance of the proposed method in dealing with practical problems in which the output variables have the nature of uncertainty and impression. Finally, we compare the performance of the suggested method with other methods. Based on the examples, the proposed method is verified for prediction. The results show that the proposed method reduces the error values to a minimum level and is more accurate than the Linear Programming (LP) and fuzzy weights with linear programming (FWLP) methods.
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