以欧盟成员国为例评估数字化对温室气体排放的影响

IF 1.6 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
A. Kuzior, O. Vyshnevskyi, N. Trushkina
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引用次数: 12

摘要

摘要数字化和气候中立是欧盟成员国的发展重点。这引起了人们对描述这些过程的广泛科学和实践兴趣,包括它们的相互影响。在这种情况下,数字化是一个因素,而以温室气体排放为主要特征的气候中性就是答案。因此,本研究的目的是以欧盟成员国为例,评估数字化对温室气体排放的影响。所获得结果的科学新颖性是假设的提出,这些假设的证明将使我们能够使用经济和数学工具估计数字化过程对欧盟成员国人均温室气体排放量的影响程度。数字化对温室气体排放水平的直接影响不能被认为是显著的和统计上显著的,这是有道理的。数字化对延迟1至4年减少温室气体排放过程的影响尚未确定。考虑到温室气体排放量与数字化水平之间的相关性回归依赖性较低,可以假设(1)其他因素具有显著影响(列表),或者(2)观测范围仅由库兹涅茨曲线的一部分“捕获”,该部分对应于下降部分的抛物线。因此,所进行的分析表明,有充分的理由相信数字化不是减少温室气体排放的主要(主导)因素。这就需要进一步研究,在模型中纳入广泛的变量(与监管政策、税收政策、投资政策、消费文化有关)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of the Impact of Digitalization on Greenhouse Gas Emissions on the Example of EU Member States
Abstract Digitization and climate neutrality are among the development priorities of EU member states. This causes wide scientific and practical interest in the description of these processes, including their mutual influence. In this case, digitalization is a factor, and climate neutrality, largely characterized by green-house gas emissions, is the answer. Therefore, the purpose of the study is to assess the impact of digitalization on greenhouse gas emissions using the example of EU member states. The scientific novelty of the obtained results is the proposition of hypotheses, the proof of which will allow us to estimate the level of influence of the digitalization process on the volume of greenhouse gases per capita of the EU member states using economic and mathematical tools. It is justified that the direct impact of digitalization on the level of greenhouse gas emissions cannot be considered significant and statistically significant. The impact of digitalization on the processes of reducing greenhouse gas emissions with a delay of 1 to 4 years has not been identified. Considering the low degree of correlation-regression dependence between greenhouse gas emissions and the level of digitization, it can be assumed that either (1) other factors have a significant impact (list), or (2) the observation horizon is “captured” only by the part of the Kuznets curve, which corresponds to the descending part parabolas. Consequently, the conducted analysis shows that there are serious reasons to believe that digitalization is not the main (leading) factor in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This necessitates further research with the inclusion of a wide range of variables (related to regulatory policy, tax policy, investment policy, the culture of consumption) in the model.
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来源期刊
Production Engineering Archives
Production Engineering Archives Engineering-Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
13.00%
发文量
50
审稿时长
6 weeks
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