对执法和社会经济活动管理的信息和分析支持(基于应用统计学的方法和实践)

V. B. Zakhozhai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文从全面诊断影响人类活动效率的环境和因素的角度,讨论了人类活动的三个至关重要的领域,即社会、经济和执法领域中管理的信息和分析方面。提出了在一项专门研究执法系统的信息和分析支持(IAS)的基础上应制定的一些原则。这项研究的结果表明,国际会计准则除了使用先进的信息技术外,还提供了一个框架,用于证实和详细制定旨在消除对一个国家成功的社会和经济发展构成威胁的实际和潜在犯罪的措施,纠正目标,根据社会和经济活动的需要打击犯罪的目标和方向,合理选择工作人员及其有效使用等。实施概述的目标包括强调符合国家国家和经济安全法律支持的要求。诊断的以下组成部分被定义:确定问题的本质;构建一套指标;建立一个方法框架,用于评估结构转型的比例、强度和发展趋势、因果关系和有效性;对活动的有效性进行排名;实时评估所执行行政决定的后果;控制打击犯罪的详细措施的执行等。统计研究方法,建立规则、技术和方法,以确定内部和外部环境因素影响下的社会经济现象和过程的模式和趋势,被认为是诊断的关键组成部分。在研究社会和经济问题方面,执法机构不仅是一个监狱机构,而且是一个以分析和预防性预测违法行为及其因素为基础,并提出预防建议的机构。事实证明,打击犯罪的管理是一项复杂的活动,其目的是通过有效利用现有资源和执行分析研究的原则、职能和方法来取得积极成果。有效打击犯罪必须依靠全面监测,这是一个利用先进的政治、监视和反应工具追踪和预测社会经济进程动态的多层系统。这些目标必须通过国际会计准则体系来实现,该体系能够在执法和社会经济活动之间建立因果关系,这些组成部分在文章中提出。其结果是对这些过程与管理目标的因果关系进行统计评估,为做出创造性的管理决策奠定基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Information and Analytical Support for the Management of Law Enforcement and Socio-Economic Activities (on the Basis of Methodologies and Practices of Applied Statistics)
The article discusses the information and analytical aspect of the management in the three vitally important spheres of the human activities, i. e. social, economic and law enforcement ones, from the perspective of a comprehensive diagnostics of the circumstances and factors that have impact on their efficiency. The number of principles to be laid in the basis of a study devoted to the information and analytical support (IAS) of the law enforcement system are proposed. The results of this study show that IAS, apart from using advanced information technologies, provides a framework for substantiating and elaborating the measures aimed at the elimination of actual and potential crime as a threat to the successful social and economic development of a country, correcting the goals, objectives and directions of combatting the crime in keeping with the needs of the social and economic activities, rational selection of the staff and their effective use, etc. The implementation of the outlined objectives involves the emphasis on keeping with the requirements of the legal support for the national and economic security of the state.  The following components of the diagnostics were defined: identifying the problem’s essence; constructing a set of indicators; creating a methodological framework for the assessment of proportionality, intensity and tendency of the development, the causality and effectiveness of the structural transformation; ranking the effectiveness of activities; assessing in real time the consequences of the implemented administrative decisions; controlling the execution of elaborated measures on combatting crime, etc. The methodology of statistical study, establishing the rules, techniques and methods for defining the patterns and tendencies of socio-economic phenomena and processes under the impact of factors originating from the internal and external environment, is proposed as the key component of the diagnostics. The law enforcement bodies are characterized in the context of study of social and economic problems as not only a penitentiary institution, but also the one which work is backed by analysis and preventive forecasting of violations and their factors and involves recommendations on their prevention. It is demonstrated that the management in combatting crime is a complex activity aimed at the achievement of positive results through the effective utilization of available resources and the implementation of principles, functions and methods of analytical study. The effective combatting of crime has to rest upon the comprehensive monitoring, which is a multitier system for tracing and predicting the dynamics of socio-economic processes by use of advanced tools of politics, surveillance and reaction. These objectives have to be achieved by IAS system enabling for causal links between law enforcement and socio-economic activities, which components are proposed in the article. Its result is a statistical assessment of these processes in their causality with management objectives, laying the basis for making creative management decisions.
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