{"title":"喀麦隆封闭的俾格米人种群参数估计","authors":"Y. T. Kouakep","doi":"10.19080/BBOAJ.2018.08.555730","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Inspired by a manuscript of (kouakep, arxiv.org/abs/1505.06431, 2016), we considered in this note a wellposed model with deferential susceptibility and infectivity adding continuous age structure to an ODE model for a “Baka” pygmy group in the East of Cameroon (Africa). Assuming a very low contribution of carriers to infection compare to acute infectious, we estimate a probability p(a) (to develop symptomatic Hepatitis B state at age a) and acute carriers’ transmission rate. The value R0 = 2:67 >1 of the basic reproduction number estimated from data in the east of Cameroon confirms that HBV is endemic in the Baka pygmy group.","PeriodicalId":72412,"journal":{"name":"Biostatistics and biometrics open access journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimation of parameters in a closed pygmy population in Cameroon\",\"authors\":\"Y. T. Kouakep\",\"doi\":\"10.19080/BBOAJ.2018.08.555730\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Inspired by a manuscript of (kouakep, arxiv.org/abs/1505.06431, 2016), we considered in this note a wellposed model with deferential susceptibility and infectivity adding continuous age structure to an ODE model for a “Baka” pygmy group in the East of Cameroon (Africa). Assuming a very low contribution of carriers to infection compare to acute infectious, we estimate a probability p(a) (to develop symptomatic Hepatitis B state at age a) and acute carriers’ transmission rate. The value R0 = 2:67 >1 of the basic reproduction number estimated from data in the east of Cameroon confirms that HBV is endemic in the Baka pygmy group.\",\"PeriodicalId\":72412,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Biostatistics and biometrics open access journal\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-09-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Biostatistics and biometrics open access journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.19080/BBOAJ.2018.08.555730\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Biostatistics and biometrics open access journal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.19080/BBOAJ.2018.08.555730","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimation of parameters in a closed pygmy population in Cameroon
Inspired by a manuscript of (kouakep, arxiv.org/abs/1505.06431, 2016), we considered in this note a wellposed model with deferential susceptibility and infectivity adding continuous age structure to an ODE model for a “Baka” pygmy group in the East of Cameroon (Africa). Assuming a very low contribution of carriers to infection compare to acute infectious, we estimate a probability p(a) (to develop symptomatic Hepatitis B state at age a) and acute carriers’ transmission rate. The value R0 = 2:67 >1 of the basic reproduction number estimated from data in the east of Cameroon confirms that HBV is endemic in the Baka pygmy group.