Taylor Wiseman, Jeff Luckstead, Alvaro Durand‐Morat
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Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Southeast Asian Rice Trade
Abstract Asian countries consume approximately 90% of the world’s rice supply. Between 2007 and 2014, Thailand, Vietnam, and India accounted for 60% of the world’s exports of rice. A nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) econometric model is utilized to estimate the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on rice trade in Southeast Asia. Focusing on the largest importing countries and exporting country by volume, the analysis considers Malaysian, Indonesian, the Philippines, and Chinese rice imports from Thailand. Results show that importing countries’ state trading enterprises (STEs) generally do not follow profit-maximizing behavior in reacting to exchange rate volatility.
期刊介绍:
Published on behalf of the Southern Agricultural Economics Association, the Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics is a forum for creative and scholarly work in agricultural economics and related areas. Contributions on methodology and applications in business, extension, research, and teaching phases of agricultural and applied economics are equally encouraged. As of 2015 (Vol 47), articles are published on an open access basis.