东盟国家新冠肺炎产品贸易是建设还是阻碍?

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS
N. Uttama
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引用次数: 5

摘要

阻碍区域一体化的障碍继续对世界贸易组织(WTO)构成严重威胁,特别是在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间。本研究旨在利用2010-2020年季度数据,考察区域经济一体化对东南亚国家联盟(东盟)国家COVID-19产品贸易的影响。使用泊松伪最大似然方法估计面板数据模型,以解决零贸易值,横截面依赖性和异质性问题。对双边新冠肺炎产品贸易的案例分析表明,东盟区域贸易协定是世界贸易组织以规则为基础的多边贸易体制的绊脚石。结果表明,母国的生产能力、东道国的吸收能力、国家规模和人均收入的相似性以及国家的偏远程度与东盟经济体的COVID-19产品贸易呈正相关关系。本研究为东南亚国家提供了若干政策启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is Trade in COVID-19 Products in ASEAN Economies a Building or Stumbling Block?
Stumbling blocks to regional integration continue to pose a serious threat to the World Trade Organization (WTO), particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to examine the effect of regional economic integration on trade in COVID-19 products for Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries using quarterly data for 2010–2020. A panel data model is estimated using the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood approach to address zero trade values, cross-sectional dependence, and heterogeneity problems. The findings of a case study on bilateral trade in COVID-19 products reveal that the ASEAN regional trade agreement is a stumbling block to the WTO’s rules-based multilateral trading system. The results indicate that the home country’s productive capacity, the host country’s absorptive capacity, the countries’ similarity in size and per capita income, and the countries’ remoteness have positive and significant relationships with trade in COVID-19 products in ASEAN economies. This study provides several policy implications for Southeast Asian countries.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
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