基于信息和通信技术的农业咨询是否能提高农民对气候变化的适应能力?来自巴基斯坦的证据

IF 3.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Nasir Abbas Khan, Wanglin Ma, Victor Owusu, Ashfaq Ahmad Shah
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要面对气候的不确定性,农民需要就适应措施提供建议,以高效、方便用户的方式管理气候风险。本研究以巴基斯坦旁遮普邦省的一个主要种植区为例,探讨了农民首选的农业咨询方式和农民的气候变化适应措施。我们还分析了不同咨询服务(提供的传统咨询服务和信息通信技术)与其适应行为之间的相互关系。我们使用多变量和有序probit模型来分析从巴基斯坦旁遮普省四个地区收集的横断面数据。描述性结果表明,农民在适应气候变化方面使用了多种农业咨询来源,其中电视和移动农业咨询似乎是最常用的来源。农民通过植树、采用气候智能型种子、打乱作物种植时间表、采用更好的水管理做法以及使种植作物多样化来适应气候变化。实证结果表明,农民的社会经济属性,特别是他们的农场和牲畜群规模、获得灌溉用水的机会,以及通过面对面推广、电视和互联网获得咨询的机会,推动了他们的适应选择和强度。我们的研究结果表明,政策制定者应该考虑改善这些咨询服务,以加快弱势农村社区的适应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does ICT-based farm advisory improve farmers' adaptation to climate change? Evidence from Pakistan
ABSTRACT In the face of climate uncertainties, farmers need advice on adaptation measures to manage climate risk in an efficient and user-friendly way. This study takes the case of a major cropping zone of Punjab province, Pakistan, which is reported among the climate-susceptible regions, to explore farmers’ preferred ways of agricultural advisory and farmers’ climate change adaptation measures. We also analyze the interrelation between different advisory services (conventional and information and communication technology (ICT)-delivered) and their adaptation behaviours. We use multivariate and ordered probit models to analyze the cross-sectional data collected from four districts of Punjab province, Pakistan. The descriptive results show that farmers have used diverse sources of farm advisory for climate change adaptation, where television and mobile agro-advisory appear to be the most used sources. Farmers have adapted to climate change by planting trees, adopting climate-smart seeds, shuffling crop cultivation schedules, using better water management practices, and diversifying cultivated crops. The empirical results reveal that farmers’ socioeconomic attributes, particularly their farm and livestock herd sizes, access to irrigation water, and advisory access through face-to-face extension, television, and the internet, drive their adaptation choices and intensity. Our findings suggest that policymakers should consider improving these advisory services to expedite the adaptation of vulnerable rural communities.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.90
自引率
4.70%
发文量
66
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