评估军事冲突背景下人口的移徙态度和期望

IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS
K. Kudak, Kateryna Mashiko, Mykhaylo Pityulych
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了军事冲突导致的乌克兰和欧盟移民问题的主要趋势。对这项研究的理论基础进行了分析,以便确定在军事冲突和危机局势条件下与人口移徙行为有关的主要方面。根据一项社会学研究的结果,对暂时居住在戒严令下的该国边境地区的国内流离失所者的移徙态度和期望进行了评估。曾试图评估在军事危机的情况下移徙对边境地区发展的潜在影响(以扎卡尔帕蒂亚州为例)。本文的目的是评估移徙者对其原籍国军事冲突的态度和期望。这项研究的重点是暂时居住在该国边境地区,特别是扎卡尔帕蒂亚州的国内流离失所者。方法。这项研究是基于对乌克兰移民的社会学调查,如在喀尔巴阡山脉地区临时停留的国内流离失所者。调查于2022年上半年进行,采用社会学访谈法,随机抽样。样本的结构是70.5%的女性和29.5%的男性受访者。除了社会学调查外,本研究还基于统计数据分析和文献综述研究,采用定性描述性分析。研究结果表明,与危机有关的移徙期望和态度方面存在显著的相互依赖性、差异和趋势,这可以作为移徙理论领域进一步预测和预测发展的基础,例如:军事冲突导致的移徙中的性别差异;家庭关系在移徙和重新安置中的重要性;远程工作和教育形式占主导地位,这证实了其在危机局势中的有效性;国内流离失所者返回家园的高度倾向和愿望以及国内流离失所者向国外移徙的低活动,这是国内流离失所者与其他类型移徙者的主要区别之一。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EVALUATION OF MIGRATION ATTITUDES AND EXPECTATIONS OF THE POPULATION IN THE CONTEXT OF MILITARY CONFLICT
The article analyses the main trends related to migration issues in Ukraine and the EU caused by the military conflict. An analysis of the theoretical basis of the research was carried out in order to determine the main aspects related to the migratory behaviour of the population in the conditions of military conflicts and crisis situations. Based on the results of a sociological study, an assessment was made of the migration attitudes and expectations of internally displaced persons (IDPs) temporarily residing in the border region of the country under martial law. An attempt was made to assess the impact of migration potential on the development of border regions under the conditions of a military crisis (using the Zakarpattia Oblast as an example). The purpose of this article is to assess the attitudes and expectations of migrants in relation to the military conflict in their country of origin. The study focuses on internally displaced persons (IDPs) living temporarily in the country's border regions, particularly in Zakarpattia Oblast. Methodology. The study is based on a sociological survey of Ukrainian migrants, such as IDPs, in new places of temporary stay in the Transcarpathian region. The survey was conducted in the first half of 2022 using the method of sociological interviews according to a random sample. The structure of the sample is 70.5% – female and 29.5% – male respondents. In addition to the sociological survey, the research is based on statistical data analysis and review of literature studies using qualitative descriptive analysis. The results of the study show significant interdependencies, disparities and trends in migration expectations and attitudes in relation to crisis, which could be the basis for further prognosis and forecasting development in the field of migration theory, such as: gender disparities in migration due to military conflicts; the importance of family ties in migration and resettlement; the predominance of the remote form of work and education, which confirms its effectiveness in crisis situations; the high inclination and desire of IDPs to return home and the low activity of IDPs in migration abroad, which is one of the main differences distinguishing IDPs from other types of migrants.
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