土耳其和其他国家Covid-19病例和死亡人数的比较

IF 2 Q3 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
Oğuzhan Çağlar, Figen Özen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本研究中,从病例数和死亡人数方面考察了土耳其Covid-19大流行的特征,并采用人工智能方法进行了特征预测。病例数和死亡人数是根据化验次数、重病患者和康复患者人数作为参数估计的。使用的机器学习方法有线性回归、多项式回归、不同核函数的支持向量回归、决策树和人工神经网络。通过计算决定系数(r2)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)值对所得结果进行比较。当r2值和MAPE值比较时,可以看到,对于土耳其的病例,使用决策树获得最优结果,对于死亡,使用多项式回归方法。美国和俄罗斯的结果相似,并通过多项式回归得到了最优结果。然而,虽然印度数据中的神经网络获得了最佳结果,但巴西数据中的线性回归、死亡数据中的神经网络、法国数据中的决策树、死亡数据中的多项式回归、英国数据中的神经网络和死亡数据中的决策树是产生最佳结果的方法。这些结果也为国家特征的异同提供了一个思路。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

A comparison of Covid-19 cases and deaths in Turkey and in other countries.

A comparison of Covid-19 cases and deaths in Turkey and in other countries.

A comparison of Covid-19 cases and deaths in Turkey and in other countries.

A comparison of Covid-19 cases and deaths in Turkey and in other countries.

In this study, the characteristics of the Covid-19 pandemic in Turkey are examined in terms of the number of cases and deaths, and a characteristic prediction is made with an approach that employs artificial intelligence. The number of cases and deaths are estimated using the number of tests, the numbers of seriously ill and recovered patients as parameters. The machine learning methods used are linear regression, polynomial regression, support vector regression with different kernel functions, decision tree and artificial neural networks. The obtained results are compared by calculating the coefficient of determination (R 2), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values. When R 2 and MAPE values are compared, it is seen that the optimal results for cases in Turkey are obtained with the decision tree, for deaths with polynomial regression method. The results reached for the United States of America and Russia are similar and the optimal results are obtained by polynomial regression. However, while the optimal results are obtained by neural networks in the Indian data, linear regression for the cases in the Brazilian data, neural network for the deaths, decision tree for the cases in France, polynomial regression for the deaths, neural network for the cases in the UK data and decision tree for the deaths are the methods that produced the optimal results. These results also give an idea about the similarities and differences of country characteristics.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
4.30%
发文量
43
期刊介绍: NetMAHIB publishes original research articles and reviews reporting how graph theory, statistics, linear algebra and machine learning techniques can be effectively used for modelling and analysis in health informatics and bioinformatics. It aims at creating a synergy between these disciplines by providing a forum for disseminating the latest developments and research findings; hence, results can be shared with readers across institutions, governments, researchers, students, and the industry. The journal emphasizes fundamental contributions on new methodologies, discoveries and techniques that have general applicability and which form the basis for network based modelling, knowledge discovery, knowledge sharing and decision support to the benefit of patients, healthcare professionals and society in traditional and advanced emerging settings, including eHealth and mHealth .
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