{"title":"土耳其和其他国家Covid-19病例和死亡人数的比较","authors":"Oğuzhan Çağlar, Figen Özen","doi":"10.1007/s13721-022-00389-9","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this study, the characteristics of the Covid-19 pandemic in Turkey are examined in terms of the number of cases and deaths, and a characteristic prediction is made with an approach that employs artificial intelligence. The number of cases and deaths are estimated using the number of tests, the numbers of seriously ill and recovered patients as parameters. The machine learning methods used are linear regression, polynomial regression, support vector regression with different kernel functions, decision tree and artificial neural networks. The obtained results are compared by calculating the coefficient of determination (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup>), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values. When <i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> and MAPE values are compared, it is seen that the optimal results for cases in Turkey are obtained with the decision tree, for deaths with polynomial regression method. The results reached for the United States of America and Russia are similar and the optimal results are obtained by polynomial regression. However, while the optimal results are obtained by neural networks in the Indian data, linear regression for the cases in the Brazilian data, neural network for the deaths, decision tree for the cases in France, polynomial regression for the deaths, neural network for the cases in the UK data and decision tree for the deaths are the methods that produced the optimal results. These results also give an idea about the similarities and differences of country characteristics.</p>","PeriodicalId":44876,"journal":{"name":"Network Modeling and Analysis in Health Informatics and Bioinformatics","volume":" ","pages":"45"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9612626/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A comparison of Covid-19 cases and deaths in Turkey and in other countries.\",\"authors\":\"Oğuzhan Çağlar, Figen Özen\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s13721-022-00389-9\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>In this study, the characteristics of the Covid-19 pandemic in Turkey are examined in terms of the number of cases and deaths, and a characteristic prediction is made with an approach that employs artificial intelligence. The number of cases and deaths are estimated using the number of tests, the numbers of seriously ill and recovered patients as parameters. The machine learning methods used are linear regression, polynomial regression, support vector regression with different kernel functions, decision tree and artificial neural networks. The obtained results are compared by calculating the coefficient of determination (<i>R</i> <sup>2</sup>), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values. When <i>R</i> <sup>2</sup> and MAPE values are compared, it is seen that the optimal results for cases in Turkey are obtained with the decision tree, for deaths with polynomial regression method. The results reached for the United States of America and Russia are similar and the optimal results are obtained by polynomial regression. However, while the optimal results are obtained by neural networks in the Indian data, linear regression for the cases in the Brazilian data, neural network for the deaths, decision tree for the cases in France, polynomial regression for the deaths, neural network for the cases in the UK data and decision tree for the deaths are the methods that produced the optimal results. These results also give an idea about the similarities and differences of country characteristics.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":44876,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Network Modeling and Analysis in Health Informatics and Bioinformatics\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"45\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9612626/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Network Modeling and Analysis in Health Informatics and Bioinformatics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13721-022-00389-9\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2022/10/27 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Network Modeling and Analysis in Health Informatics and Bioinformatics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s13721-022-00389-9","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2022/10/27 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
A comparison of Covid-19 cases and deaths in Turkey and in other countries.
In this study, the characteristics of the Covid-19 pandemic in Turkey are examined in terms of the number of cases and deaths, and a characteristic prediction is made with an approach that employs artificial intelligence. The number of cases and deaths are estimated using the number of tests, the numbers of seriously ill and recovered patients as parameters. The machine learning methods used are linear regression, polynomial regression, support vector regression with different kernel functions, decision tree and artificial neural networks. The obtained results are compared by calculating the coefficient of determination (R2), and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values. When R2 and MAPE values are compared, it is seen that the optimal results for cases in Turkey are obtained with the decision tree, for deaths with polynomial regression method. The results reached for the United States of America and Russia are similar and the optimal results are obtained by polynomial regression. However, while the optimal results are obtained by neural networks in the Indian data, linear regression for the cases in the Brazilian data, neural network for the deaths, decision tree for the cases in France, polynomial regression for the deaths, neural network for the cases in the UK data and decision tree for the deaths are the methods that produced the optimal results. These results also give an idea about the similarities and differences of country characteristics.
期刊介绍:
NetMAHIB publishes original research articles and reviews reporting how graph theory, statistics, linear algebra and machine learning techniques can be effectively used for modelling and analysis in health informatics and bioinformatics. It aims at creating a synergy between these disciplines by providing a forum for disseminating the latest developments and research findings; hence, results can be shared with readers across institutions, governments, researchers, students, and the industry. The journal emphasizes fundamental contributions on new methodologies, discoveries and techniques that have general applicability and which form the basis for network based modelling, knowledge discovery, knowledge sharing and decision support to the benefit of patients, healthcare professionals and society in traditional and advanced emerging settings, including eHealth and mHealth .