十年间2-3轮机动车辆的死亡率:一项全球研究。

Yasin J Yasin, Michal Grivna, Fikri M Abu-Zidan
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引用次数: 8

摘要

背景:由于驾驶员/乘客的暴露身体和高速,机动2-3轮车相关的死亡率很高。联合国道路安全行动十年旨在到2020年将道路交通死亡人数减少50%。我们的目的是研究影响2-3轮机动车辆受伤受害者死亡率的因素,以及死亡率的降低是否达到了联合国的目标。方法:数据取自世卫组织2009年至2018年发布的《全球道路安全状况报告》,涵盖2007年至2016年。研究的变量包括机动2-3轮车死亡率、头盔佩戴率百分比、头盔执法、速度执法、人均国民总收入、车辆/人比率和机动2-3轮车/人比率。采用混合线性模型确定影响2-3轮机动车辆死亡率随时间变化的因素。结果:研究10年间,全球2-3轮机动车辆的平均死亡率从2.37/10万人上升到3.23/10万人(相对比为1.36),差异无统计学意义。影响死亡率的因素包括GNI (p = 0.025)、机动2-3轮车的人均死亡率(p)。结论:近十年来,全球机动2-3轮车的死亡率相对比增加了1.36。联合国减少死亡的目标没有实现。这一增长与人均2-3轮机动车辆比例的增加以及必须在全球范围内解决的经济不平等有关。全球经济差距显著影响2-3轮机动车辆的死亡率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Motorized 2-3 wheelers death rates over a decade: a global study.

Motorized 2-3 wheelers death rates over a decade: a global study.

Motorized 2-3 wheelers death rates over a decade: a global study.

Motorized 2-3 wheelers death rates over a decade: a global study.

Background: Motorized 2-3-wheelers-related death is high due to the exposed body of the driver/passenger and the high speed. The United Nation (UN) Decade of Action for road safety aimed to reduce road traffic deaths by 50% by the year 2020. We aimed to study the factors affecting the death rates of motorized 2-3 wheelers injured victims and whether the reduction in the death rates has met the UN target.

Methods: Data were retrieved from the WHO Global Status Reports on Road Safety published over 2009 to 2018 which covered the years of 2007 to 2016. Studied variables included motorized 2-3 wheelers death rates, percentage of helmet-wearing rate, helmet law enforcement, speed law enforcement, gross national income per capita, vehicles/person ratio, and motorized 2-3 wheelers/person ratio. A mixed linear model was used to define factors affecting the change of motorized 2-3 wheelers death rates over time.

Results: The global mean motorized 2-3 wheelers death rates increased from 2.37/100,000 population to 3.23/100,000 population over the studied decade (a relative ratio of 1.36) which was not statistically significant. Factors that affected mortality included GNI (p = 0.025), motorized 2-3 wheelers per person ratio (p < 0.0001), percentage of helmet wearing rate (p = 0.046), and the interaction between vehicle/person ratio and motorized 2-3 wheelers/person ratio (p = 0.016). There was a significant increase in the death rates over time in the low-income countries (a relative ratio of 2.52, p = 0.019, Friedman test), and middle-income countries (a relative ratio of 1.46, p < 0.0001, Friedman test), compared with a significant decrease in the high-income countries (a relative ratio of 0.72, p < 0.0001, Friedman test).

Conclusions: Global mortality of motorized 2-3 wheelers has increased by a relative ratio of 1.36 over a recent decade. The UN target of reducing death was not met. The increase was related to the increase in motorized 2-3 wheelers per person ratio and economic inequity which has to be addressed globally. The economic global gap significantly impacts the mortality rates of motorized 2-3 wheelers.

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