具有两个时间尺度的离散流行病模型。

IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics
Advances in Difference Equations Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-30 DOI:10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0
Rafael Bravo de la Parra, Luis Sanz-Lorenzo
{"title":"具有两个时间尺度的离散流行病模型。","authors":"Rafael Bravo de la Parra,&nbsp;Luis Sanz-Lorenzo","doi":"10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number <math> <msub><mover><mi>R</mi> <mo>‾</mo></mover> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> of the reduced system gives a good approximation of <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches.</p>","PeriodicalId":53311,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Difference Equations","volume":"2021 1","pages":"478"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8556850/pdf/","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Discrete epidemic models with two time scales.\",\"authors\":\"Rafael Bravo de la Parra,&nbsp;Luis Sanz-Lorenzo\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number <math> <msub><mover><mi>R</mi> <mo>‾</mo></mover> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> of the reduced system gives a good approximation of <math><msub><mi>R</mi> <mn>0</mn></msub> </math> of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":53311,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Advances in Difference Equations\",\"volume\":\"2021 1\",\"pages\":\"478\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8556850/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Advances in Difference Equations\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2021/10/30 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advances in Difference Equations","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03633-0","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2021/10/30 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6

摘要

工作的主要目的是提出一类一般的两个时间尺度离散时间流行病模型。在提出的框架中,疾病动力学被认为是在比第二个不同过程更慢的时间尺度上起作用的,而第二个不同过程可以代表空间位置之间的运动、个体活动或行为的变化或其他。为了包含一个足够普遍的疾病模型,我们首先从第一性原理建立了一个离散时间易感-暴露-感染-恢复-易感(SEIRS)模型,并借助其基本繁殖数R 0来表征疾病的根除或流行。然后,我们提出了一个包含两个过程在不同时间尺度上的一般完整模型,并通过简化模型对其进行分析。约简系统的基本复制数R - 0给出了完整模型R - 0的一个很好的近似,因为它用于分析其渐近行为。作为所提出的总体框架的一个例证,研究表明,考虑到大种群中的孤立斑块,存在一些条件,在这些条件下,通过在斑块之间建立适当的运动,可以在全球范围内根除局部地方病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Discrete epidemic models with two time scales.

Discrete epidemic models with two time scales.

Discrete epidemic models with two time scales.

Discrete epidemic models with two time scales.

The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could represent movements between spatial locations, changes of individual activities or behaviors, or others. To include a sufficiently general disease model, we first build up from first principles a discrete-time susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-susceptible (SEIRS) model and characterize the eradication or endemicity of the disease with the help of its basic reproduction number R 0 . Then, we propose a general full model that includes sequentially the two processes at different time scales and proceed to its analysis through a reduced model. The basic reproduction number R 0 of the reduced system gives a good approximation of R 0 of the full model since it serves at analyzing its asymptotic behavior. As an illustration of the proposed general framework, it is shown that there exist conditions under which a locally endemic disease, considering isolated patches in a metapopulation, can be eradicated globally by establishing the appropriate movements between patches.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The theory of difference equations, the methods used, and their wide applications have advanced beyond their adolescent stage to occupy a central position in applicable analysis. In fact, in the last 15 years, the proliferation of the subject has been witnessed by hundreds of research articles, several monographs, many international conferences, and numerous special sessions. The theory of differential and difference equations forms two extreme representations of real world problems. For example, a simple population model when represented as a differential equation shows the good behavior of solutions whereas the corresponding discrete analogue shows the chaotic behavior. The actual behavior of the population is somewhere in between. The aim of Advances in Difference Equations is to report mainly the new developments in the field of difference equations, and their applications in all fields. We will also consider research articles emphasizing the qualitative behavior of solutions of ordinary, partial, delay, fractional, abstract, stochastic, fuzzy, and set-valued differential equations. Advances in Difference Equations will accept high-quality articles containing original research results and survey articles of exceptional merit.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信