个人理性与市场效率。

IF 0.6 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL
Steven Gjerstad, Jason Shachat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Smith(1962)关于连续双重拍卖(CDA)中价格和分配迅速收敛于竞争均衡的论证仍然是实验经济学中最重要的结果之一。市场实验和交易模型大大增加了我们对市场如何达到平衡以及市场如何应对中断的认识。也许在CDA市场实验中最著名的交换模型是Gode和Sunder(1993)的随机行为“零智能”(ZI)模型。他们认为,只有在代理人满足预算约束的情况下,CDA才能产生有效的分配,并使“交易价格趋同于接近理论均衡价格”。我们在模拟中证明了价格不收敛。他们的预算约束要求买方的货币永远不会超过其商品价值,这是一种不自然的限制。他们的结论是,市场效率是由CDA结构决定的,与交易者的利润追求行为无关,这一结论是基于他们所施加的约束是市场制度的一部分。我们展示了他们实际上强加了个人理性。对这种行为约束的误解导致了关于市场调整过程的无益辩论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Individual Rationality and Market Efficiency.

Smith's (1962) demonstration that prices and allocations quickly converge to the competitive equilibrium in the continuous double auction (CDA) remains one of the most important results in experimental economics. Market experiments and exchange models have added considerably to our knowledge of how markets reach equilibrium, and how they respond to disruptions. Perhaps the best-known model of exchange in CDA market experiments is the random behavior 'zero-intelligence' (ZI) model by Gode and Sunder (1993). They argue that the CDA generates efficient allocations and 'convergence of transaction prices to the proximity of the theoretical equilibrium price,' provided only that agents meet their budget constraints. We demonstrate that prices do not converge in their simulations. Their budget constraint requires that a buyer's currency never exceeds her commodity value, which is an unnatural restriction. Their conclusion that market efficiency results from the structure of the CDA independent of traders' profit seeking behavior rests on their claim that the constraints that they impose are a part of the market institution. We show that actually they impose individual rationality. Misinterpretation of this behavioral constraint has led to unproductive debate on market adjustment processes.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
11.10%
发文量
26
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